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Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals

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Day: Friday    Date: 10.03.2023

League: NETHERLANDS Eerste Divisie
Match: Heracles – Jong AZ
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 2:0 Lost

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The David De Gea Story: Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals

David de Gea’s journey from a small Spanish town to the pinnacle of Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals greatness is remarkable. His hard work, devotion, and determination overcame several challenges.

From his early days as a goalkeeper for the local team to his rise to fame as a star player for Manchester United and the Spanish national team, de Gea’s story inspires and captivates football max betting fixed odds matches fans worldwide.

This article takes a closer look at the life and career of David de Gea, exploring the key moments that have made him one of the greatest goalkeepers of all time.

Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals: Early Life and Football Career

David de Gea was born in Madrid, Spain, on November 7th, 1990. Growing up in a small Spanish town, Illescas, de Gea was introduced to football fixed matches 1×2 at a young age by his father, a goalkeeper. De Gea’s passion for soccer started at a young age when he joined a local club.

At ten, de Gea joined Atletico Madrid’s youth academy, where he began training as a goalkeeper. The club’s coaches soon recognized his talent and potential, and he quickly rose through the youth academy ranks. We offer Guaranteed HT FT Odds, Big Money League Betting and much more.

De Gea’s youth career with Atletico Madrid was marked by several key achievements, including winning the Spanish Youth Cup in 2007 and the UEFA European Under-17 Championship in 2007. As if that weren’t enough to solidify his status as a future superstar in the world of football, he also played for Spain’s U-17 and U-19 national teams.

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De Gea’s impressive performances at the youth level earned him a call-up to the Atletico Madrid first team in 2009, where he made his professional debut in a Copa del Rey match against Universidad de Las Palmas. Despite his young age and relative lack of experience, de Gea quickly established himself as a key player for the club, playing a crucial role in their Europa League triumph in 2010.

De Gea’s success at Atletico Madrid caught the attention of several top European clubs, and in 2011 he was signed by Manchester United for a fee of £18.9 million, making him the most expensive goalkeeper in British football correct score betting history at the time. Despite initial struggles and criticism, de Gea soon found his footing at the club and became one of the world’s best goalkeepers.

Professional Career at Atletico Madrid

After joining Atletico Madrid at 13, David de Gea began his professional football career with the club’s reserve team in the Spanish third division. Not long before, he was promoted to the first team, making his debut in 2009 at 18. De Gea’s performance in goal quickly drew attention from top European clubs, and he became a highly sought-after prospect. We offer Paid Fixed Matches Whatsapp for VIP Ticket Combo Rigged Matches through our Confirmed Odds Experts and more.

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During his time at Atletico Madrid, de Gea played a crucial role in the team’s success, helping them win the UEFA Europa League in 2010 and the UEFA Super Cup in the same year. He also won the Ricardo Zamora Trophy for the best goalkeeper in the Spanish league in both 2010 and 2011, further establishing himself as one of the best young goalkeepers in the world.

De Gea’s performances for Atletico Madrid caught the attention of Manchester United, who signed him in 2011 for a fee of around £18.9 million, making him the second-most expensive goalkeeper in history. His move to Manchester United marked the beginning of a new chapter in his career, one that would see him become one of football’s most successful and highly regarded goalkeepers.

Rise to Fame at Manchester United

David de Gea’s arrival at Manchester United was met with skepticism by many fans. And pundits who doubted whether the young goalkeeper. Could fill the void left by the departure of legendary goalkeeper Edwin van der Sar. However, it took a little while for De Gea to prove his worth. And establish himself as one of the best goalkeepers in the world. Here is a breakdown of his rise to fame at Manchester United:

Adaptation Period

De Gea struggled in his early days at Manchester United. With his slight frame and unorthodox style of goalkeeping. Being questioned by many. He faced a tough challenge adapting to the physicality of the Premier League. And the pace of the game in England.

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Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals Improvement and Breakthrough

Despite his difficult start, De Gea began to improve and show glimpses of the talent. That had made him such a sought-after prospect. His first clean sheet for Manchester United came in a 3-0 victory over Tottenham Hotspur. And he continued to put in strong performances throughout the season.

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In his second season, De Gea established himself as Manchester United’s first-choice goalkeeper. Putting in a series of impressive performances and helping the team win the Premier League title in 2013.

Individual Accolades

De Gea’s performances for Manchester United earned him individual recognition, winning the club’s Player of the Year award three times in four seasons between 2014 and 2018. He was also named in the PFA Team of the Year five times and won the Premier League Golden Glove award in the 2017/18 season.

Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals: Challenges and Setbacks

Despite his success at Manchester United, de Gea faced challenges and setbacks. In the 2018 World Cup, he made a high-profile mistake for Spain, resulting in their elimination from the tournament. He also went through a difficult period in the 2019/20 season, making several high-profile errors that led to some questioning his place in the team. We offer Manipulated Paid Fixed Bets, Scotland Correct Score Bets and Genuine 1×2 Betting on our site.

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De Gea has since bounced back from his difficult spell, putting in a series of strong performances and helping Manchester United reach the final of the Europa League in the 2020/21 season. He is still one of the top goalkeepers in the world and an integral part of the squad. You can also get Strong Fixed Reliable Sources through Winning Global Fixed Matches.

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Spanish Fixed Matches National Team Career

In a friendly match against El Salvador in 2014, David de Gea made his Spanish national team debut after taking over for Iker Casillas. Since then, he has been a regular national squad member, making numerous appearances in both friendly matches and competitive games.

Despite being part of the Spanish squad that crashed out in the group stage of the 2014 World Cup, de Gea has since become the first-choice goalkeeper for the national team, replacing Casillas. He played an instrumental role in Spain’s qualification for the 2018 World Cup, conceding only three goals in the ten games of the qualifying campaign.

In the 2018 World Cup, de Gea’s performance was not up to his usual standards, as he made several high-profile errors that contributed to Spain’s early exit in the knockout stages. However, he remains a vital part of the Spanish team and will look to redeem himself in future international competitions.

Fixed Matches Personal Life and Legacy

Aside from his successful football career, David de Gea has a personal life and a legacy that is worth mentioning.

Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals: Personal Life

David de Gea is known to be very private and has managed to keep his personal life away from the spotlight. He is in a long-term relationship with his girlfriend, Edurne Garcia, a famous Spanish singer and television personality.

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Legacy

Among the finest goalkeepers of his period, David de Gea has established himself as a top contender. He has won numerous individual awards throughout his career, including the Premier League Golden Glove award four times, and has been included in the PFA Team of the Year on five occasions.

De Gea has been instrumental to Manchester United’s sustained success. He played a crucial role in their 2016-17 Europa League triumph, making several important saves to help the team win the trophy.

Moreover, de Gea’s excellent performances for Manchester United have also earned him comparisons with some of the greatest goalkeepers of all time, such as Peter Schmeichel and Edwin van der Sar.

Total Guaranteed Fixed Goals: Current Stats and Performance

David de Gea, the famous Spanish goalkeeper, has made an incredible 1,122 saves throughout his career. Which is a testament to his superb shot-stopping abilities. He has also saved several penalties. Proving his prowess in facing the toughest challenge in football hot fixed bets. In addition, he has punched the ball away 133 times and made 203 high claims. Demonstrating his ability to catch the ball in the air confidently.

De Gea has completed 117 catches and made 109 sweeper clearances as a goalkeeper. A skill necessary for a goalkeeper to protect their team from potential counter-attacks. He has also made 1,511 throw-outs and 3,023 goal kicks. Indicating his contribution to the team’s build-up play from the back.

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Defensively, De Gea has kept 140 clean sheets and conceded 431 goals. Though his goal concession record might not seem impressive. He has proven himself a dependable goalkeeper over the years. Making crucial saves to keep his team in the game. He has, however, made 16 errors leading to a goal. And one own goal, highlighting that even the best of the best can make mistakes.

He has only committed one foul. Showing his focus on defending his goal and staying out of trouble.

When it comes to team play, De Gea hasn’t scored any goals or made any assists. But his contribution to his team’s build-up play is impressive. He has made 8,937 passes with an average of 22.29 passes per match, with 2,251 being accurate long balls. Which shows his ability to initiate counter-attacks from deep in his half.

Final thoughts

David de Gea’s journey from humble beginnings in Madrid. To his rise as one of the best goalkeepers in the world is a true inspiration. His passion for the game and dedication to constantly improving. His skills have made him a role model for aspiring footballers worldwide.

Performances for Manchester United and the Spanish national team have been remarkable. And his many accolades and achievements speak to his talent and hard work. Beyond his athletic abilities, De Gea’s resilience and perseverance. In the face of adversity make him a true champion. And his story will continue to inspire fans for generations to come.

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Day: Monday    Date: 19.09.2022

League: NORWAY Division 2 – Group 2
Match: Ull/Kisa – Valerenga 2
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 3:0 Won

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In February 2019, FixedMatch.Bet Betting Resources published an article Halftime Fulltime Fixed Matches Big Odds modeling a bettor’s range of possible fixed matches winning betting returns. Around an expect performance there is a distribution of possible outcomes influence by good and bad luck, define by the mathematics of the normal distribution. To help bettors visualise this, we made available a simple performance distribution calculator fixed matches.

Flashscore place for watching live results and old results. This analysis only consider stakes of the same size (level stakes). Whilst I’m very much an advocate of this money management strategy, others quite reasonably prefer a different one. The most common one is to bet a percentage stake based on the current size of one’s bankroll.

Unsurprisingly, the aforementioned method is known as percentage staking. It’s a strategy I’ve discussed before on FixedMatch.Bet in comparison to level staking. The simplest version is to bet the same percentage for every bet, regardless of the odds. More sophisticated versions, like Kelly staking, advocate taking both the odds and the size of one’s expected value into account when defining the percentage size.

How does percentage staking work?

Suppose a bettor starts with a bankroll of 100 units. They decide they want to bet 1% of their bankroll on their bets. The first bet will therefore be 1 unit. If it wins at odds of 2.00, the bankroll will now stand at 101. Hence, their next bet will have a stake of 1.01 units, which is 1% of 101. If the first bet had lost, the bankroll would stand at 99 units and the next bet would have a stake of 0.99 units.

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Kelly staking specifically defines the percentage figure that should be apply by dividing the expect value by the decimal odds minus 1. For example, a bet at odds of 3.00 with an expect value of 10% or 0.1 would be assigned a percentage stake of 0.1 / 3 – 1 = 5%. There are those who argue Kelly staking is too risky to be considered a realistic money management strategy, since it can sometimes advise very large percentage figures. To moderate this risk, fractional Kelly is often COMBO FIXED MATCHES considered.

The skewed distribution of possible returns from percentage staking

The chart below (reproduced from my earlier article on FixedMatch.Bet) compares the distribution of possible returns for level stakes versus percentage staking for one fixed odds tips betting scenario produced via a Monte Carlo simulation. In comparison to level staking, percentage staking, with some good fortune, can see some very big bankrolls.

The distribution has what we would term positive skew. In this scenario, some profits were considerable larger than 7,000 units but for clarity I have omitted Halftime Fulltime Fixed Matches Big Odds them.

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In fact, for the simplest of scenarios where the odds and stake percentage of every bet are the same, we don’t need to resort to a Monte Carlo simulation; it’s possible to produce the distribution mathematically.

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Consider the following example. A bettor places their first bet at evens with a 10% stake. If it wins, their bankroll is now 110% (or 1.1) times the original bankroll. If it loses, it will be only 90% (or 0.9) times the original bankroll. The same is true after each sequential bet. Consequently, if the bettor bets 10 times and has six winners, we can easily calculate the growth in their bankroll as follows:

Bankroll growth = 1.16 x 0.94 = 1.162 or 116.2%

The bettor could start with six winners

It doesn’t matter what order the wins and losses come in. The bettor could start with six winners and finish with four losers; or they could start with four winners and finish with six losers; or any other of the 210 total possible ways of arranging this combination of winners and losers. They will still finish with 116.2% of what they started with.

Thus, for n bets with stakes S% and w winners:

Bankroll growth = (1 + S)w(1 – S)n-w

The biggest bankroll growth in my FIXED MATCHES PREDICTIONS above was 948.8. I haven’t kept the actual win/loss figures but knowing there were 1,000 bets with odds of 2.0 and stakes of 5%, I can use this formula to determine that the actual number of winners was 581.

Furthermore, if we know the expected value (EV) for our bets, we can calculate the expected rate of bankroll growth as follows:

Expected bankroll growth = {(EV x S) +1}n

For example, if this bettor’s EV is 20% or 0.2, their expect (or mean) bankroll growth will be given by {(0.2*0.1)+1}10 = 1.0210 = 1.219 or 121.9%. Readers might observe that this is greater than the bankroll growth associate with winning six out of 10 even-money bets, which is what is implied by a 20% EV.

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This is because the bankroll growth for more wins contributes disproportionately more to the average than those for fewer wins – remember the distribution of possible returns is positively skew. Thus, whilst the most typical (median) bankroll growth in this example will be 116.2%, the expect (or mean) value will be 121.9%.

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Assumes that HALFTIME FULLTIME FIXED MATCHES BIG ODDS

Obviously, this assumes that EV is the same for every bet, a huge oversimplification but necessary to define the mathematics.

If we rewrite (EV x S) + 1 as the expected bank growth factor, F, then we have:

Expected bankroll growth = Fn

,and thus:

n = LogF(Expected bankroll growth)

,where F is the base of the logarithm.

For fixed matches free bets with the same stake percentage and EV, the logarithm of the expected bankroll growth will be proportional to the number of bets. Similarly, the logarithm of the actual bankroll growth will also be proportional to the number wins. This is visually demonstrate for our example bettor here. The second chart is the same as the first but with a logarithmic y-axis.

You may have noticed that five wins and five losses, which for a level staker would result in a break-even return from even-money bets, results in a slight loss with percentage staking (bankroll growth = 0.951). It takes a bigger percentage growth to recover a previous loss, but if percentages for stakes stay the same, one win following one loss won’t quite recover the initial lost stake.

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Similarly, one loss following one win will lose you more than you initially won on your first bet. The same is true over 10 bets (or any number of bets). If the bankroll growth for one win and one loss is 0.99 (1.1 x 0.9), then for five wins and five losses it is 0.995 = 0.951.

The skewed distribution of returns from percentage staking is log-normal.

If the number of wins in a series of bets is proportional to the logarithm of the bankroll growth, we should expect to see a log-normal distribution of possible bankroll growth. Our PAID DAILY TIPS FIXED MATCHES 1X2 can help bettors get a good return on their investment.

A log-normal distribution is one where the logarithm of the data is normally distributed (the familiar bell-shaped curve). Below I have plotted the frequency distribution of the natural logarithm (Ln) of the 10,000 observed bankroll growths from the same Monte Carlo simulation I referred to earlier.

Instead of transforming the bankroll growth figures logarithmically, I can instead display the original figures using a logarithmic scale. The results are visually equivalent.

The average or expected bankroll growth for this Monte Carlo sample was 12.2. How does that compare to the figure calculated from first principles using the equation above? With an EV of 5% (0.05) for the 1,000 bets and the stake size 5% (or 0.05), the answer is 1.00251000 = 12.1, an excellent match. Unsurprisingly, the median bankroll growth (the centre of the distribution) was considerably lower at 3.49, with only 21.7% of bankroll growth figures higher than the expected figure of 12.2. Remember, a few very large bankrolls positively skew the mean.

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Is there a way to calculate the probability of achieving a specific bankroll growth? One can look at the chart above and make visual estimates, although given the logarithmic scale, that is no easy task. Alternatively, we can just count the number of times a bankroll finished higher than a certain threshold. In this Monte Carlo sample, for example, a bankroll finished with more than it started with (bankroll growth = 1) 78.5% of the time, and at least doubled 63.5% of the time.

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However, using Excel there is an easier method. Having calculated the natural logarithm (using the =Ln function) for all simulated bankroll growth figures, it is then possible to use the follow function:

LOGNORM.DIST(x,mean,SD,true)

where x is your chosen bankroll growth Halftime Fulltime Fixed Matches Big Odds (for example 2 for a doubling), ‘mean’ and ‘SD’ are the average and standard deviation respectively of your natural logarithm values, and ‘true’ ensures a cumulative probability.

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Using this formula, the probability of finishing with more than you had start with (x = 1) was estimated to be 78.2%, the probability of doubling your bankroll (x = 2) was 63.6% and the probability of exceeding expectation (x = 12.2) was 21.7%, almost the same figures as Halftime Fulltime Fixed Matches Big Odds from counting.

On the other hand, if your goal is truly to maximise your profits, then you will need to consider how much you are willing to risk too. To do that, we must set aside the simple EV calculation and use my Theoretical Kelly Optimization (TKO). Analysis method to find the optimal strategy – the one that maximises your percentage of expected growth (EG) for your bankroll.

This optimal strategy is the goal of the Kelly Criterion, but since that well-known formula only applies to independent bets. You have to use more complex math when analysing situations like this when you bet on both sides of a market. So how do you take this +EV opportunity and use it to optimise your EG? That is what we will figure out here.

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Day: Wednesday    Date: 08.03.2023

League: ICELAND League Cup
Match: KR Reykjavik – Akranes
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
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Match: Valur – Grindavik
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
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Professional Calculated Odds Betting: Muhammad Salah’s Impact on English Football

It’s not every day that a player goes from being considered a flop to a Professional Calculated Odds Betting  hero. But that’s exactly what Mohamed Salah did when he joined Liverpool FC from Roma in 2017. In just a few short years, Salah has become one of the most exciting and influential players in English football fixed matches, helping to lead Liverpool to numerous victories and accolades.

But Salah’s impact on the game goes far beyond his impressiacve statistics and goal-scoring record. In this article, we’ll explore how Salah has transformed English football correct fixed bets, both on and off the pitch, and why he is widely considered one of his generation’s most important players.

Struggles at Professional Calculated Odds Betting

Mohamed Salah’s journey to becoming one of the best players in English football correct score betting was not without its challenges. The Egyptian winger started his professional career at El Mokawloon in his home country before moving to Swiss club Basel in 2012. At Basel, Salah began to make a name for himself, scoring 20 goals and providing nine assists in his first season.

Salah’s impressive performances at Basel caught the attention of several big European clubs, including Chelsea. Salah joined Chelsea for an estimated £11 million in January 2014. Despite high expectations, Salah struggled to make an impact at Chelsea. He made six appearances for the club in the second half of the 2013-14 season, failing to score a single goal.

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The following season, Salah found himself down the pecking order at Chelsea and was sent out on loan to the Italian club Fiorentina in January 2015. At Fiorentina, Salah enjoyed more playing time and rediscovered his form, scoring six goals and providing three assists in 16 appearances.

Impressive Loan Spells

Salah’s impressive loan spell at Fiorentina led to another loan move, this time to Serie A rivals Roma for the 2015-16 season. While at Roma, Salah established himself as a star player, becoming a regular in the starting lineup and scoring 15 goals in 42 games. Roma eventually made Salah’s move permanent in August 2016, paying a reported fee of €15 million.

Salah’s struggles at Chelsea and subsequent loan moves may have been disappointing, but they were also a valuable learning experience for the young player. Salah later said about his time at Chelsea, “It was a difficult time, but it was a good experience. I learned a lot from that time, from the managers who came and went. I have good memories of my time there, but I’m happy to be playing somewhere else now.” We also offer Manipulated Paid Fixed Bets and Scotland Correct Score Bets for serious bettors.

In hindsight, Salah’s time at Chelsea may have been a blessing in disguise. His struggles at the club motivated him to work harder and improve his game, leading to his impressive performances at Roma and eventual move to Liverpool. Without his struggles at Chelsea, Salah may not have become the world-class player he is today.

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Success at Roma

Mohamed Salah’s time at Roma was a crucial period in his career, as it allowed him to establish himself as one of the best players in Serie A and proved to be a stepping stone to his eventual move to Liverpool. Here’s a closer look at Salah’s success at the Italian club:

Arrival at Roma and Initial Struggles

Salah joined Roma on loan from Chelsea in August 2015. His arrival in Rome was met with excitement, as he was seen as a talented winger who could help the team improve upon their fourth-place finish from the previous season. However, Salah struggled in his early days at Roma as he tried to adapt to the Italian game.

The Egyptian winger found it difficult to adjust to the physicality and tactical demands of Serie A. He often found himself isolated on the wing, needing help communicating effectively with his teammates. However, manager Luciano Spalletti recognized Salah’s potential and worked closely with him to improve his game. You can also get Genuine 1×2 Betting tips through Strong Fixed Reliable Sources for our Winning Global Fixed Matches.

Consistent Goal-Scoring and Impressive Performances

Salah gradually began to settle in at Roma and significantly impacted the team. Because of his speed, dribbling skills, and goal-scoring instincts, he was an integral part of Roma’s team. He was instrumental in the team’s run to the Champions League round of 16 in the 2015-16 season, where they faced Real Madrid.

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Salah’s performances in Serie A were equally impressive, as he scored 14 goals and provided six assists in 34 league appearances in his debut season. He continued to improve in his second season at the club, scoring 15 goals and providing 11 assists in 31 league appearances.

Fan Favorite and Impact on the Club

Salah’s impressive performances on the pitch made him a fan favorite at Roma. His speed and dribbling ability made him a joy to watch, and his work ethic and humble demeanor off the pitch made him a popular figure in the dressing room.

Salah’s impact on Roma extended beyond his performances. He played a key role in helping the team qualify for the Champions League in both seasons at the club. His goal-scoring exploits helped Roma finish second in the league in the 2016-17 season, their highest finish in seven years. We offer Paid Fixed Matches Whatsapp services using our Confirmed Odds Experts for VIP Ticket Combo Rigged Matches.

Arrival at Liverpool: Professional Calculated Odds Betting

Salah’s impressive performances at Roma caught the attention of several top clubs. But it was Liverpool who ultimately secured his signature in the summer of 2017. Liverpool paid a club-record fee of £36.9 million to sign the Egyptian winger. Making him the most expensive African player in history.

Salah hit the ground running at Liverpool, scoring on his debut in a friendly against Wigan Athletic. He followed it up by scoring in his first Premier League game against Watford and his next two league games.  By the end of September 2017, Salah had already scored five goals in his first eight appearances for Liverpool.

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Salah’s immediate impact on the team was felt both on and off the pitch. His goalscoring ability and attacking prowess gave Liverpool a new dimension in attack, while his positive attitude and work ethic endeared him to the fans and his teammates. After gaining instant popularity with Reds supporters, he was crowned the Premier League’s August and September 2017 Player of the Month.

Salah’s first season at Liverpool was a huge success, as he scored 32 goals in 36 Premier League appearances, setting a new record for the most goals scored in a 38-game season. He was also influential in Liverpool’s run to the Champions League final, which they lost to Real Madrid.

Salah’s immediate impact at Liverpool helped to establish him as one of the best players in the world. He has continued to thrive at the club in the years since his arrival. His goalscoring exploits and attacking prowess have been crucial to Liverpool’s success. And he has helped to establish the team as one of the best in Europe.

Transformation of Professional Calculated Odds Betting

Muhammad Salah’s arrival at Liverpool in 2017 marked a turning point in the transformation of English football. Here are some of how Salah has contributed to this evolution:

Revitalizing Liverpool’s Attack

Before Salah’s arrival, Liverpool had a talented but inconsistent attacking unit. However, Salah’s arrival provided the team with a new dimension in attack. His speed, technical ability, and goalscoring prowess revitalized Liverpool’s attack and helped to establish them as one of the most dangerous teams in the league. Get Guaranteed HT FT Odds for your Big Money League Betting needs on our site!

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Salah’s success at Liverpool has also inspired other attacking players in the league. His relentless work ethic, positive attitude, and dedication to the game set an example for others. His success has shown that hard work and determination can lead to great success in the Premier League.

Setting New Standards for Performance

Salah’s success has also set new standards for performance in the Premier League. His record-breaking goal-scoring exploits have raised the bar for what is expected of attacking players in the league. He has also shown that players from outside of the traditional football correct score betting matches powerhouses can make a significant impact in the Premier League.

Enhancing the Global Appeal of Professional Calculated Odds Betting

Salah’s success at Liverpool has helped enhance the Premier League’s global appeal. Millions of fans worldwide have watched his performances. His success has helped to establish the league as one of the most competitive and exciting in the world. This has resulted in a surge of new supporters. For the league and contributed to its growth into a recognized brand worldwide.

Overall, Salah’s contribution to the transformation of English football has been significant. His impact on Liverpool and the Premier League has been profound, and he has established himself as one of the best players in the world. His success has set new standards for performance in the Premier League and has inspired other players to follow in his footsteps.

Professional Calculated Odds Betting: Off-Field Impact and Philanthropy

While Muhammad Salah is primarily known for his on-field exploits, he has made a significant impact on the field through his philanthropic work and dedication to charitable causes. Here are some of how Salah has made a difference off the pitch:

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Donations to Charitable Causes

Salah has made several significant donations to charitable causes throughout his career. There is a new hospital in his native Egypt thanks to his donation of $3 million in the year 2020. He has also given to groups promoting health and education in his land.

Raising Awareness of Social Issues

Salah has used his platform as a professional footballer to raise awareness of social issues. He has spoken out against discrimination and racism in football correct score betting matches and used his social media accounts to promote unity and tolerance.

Inspiring the Next Generation

Salah’s success and philanthropic work have inspired a new generation of football sure win tips 1×2 fans and players. He has become a role model for young people worldwide and has shown that it is possible to achieve great success while also giving back to the community.

Enhancing Liverpool’s Global Reputation

Salah’s off-field impact has also helped to enhance Liverpool’s global reputation. His dedication to charitable causes and his positive impact on society. Have helped establish Liverpool as a socially responsible club. Committed to making a positive difference in the world.

Final thoughts

In conclusion, Muhammad Salah’s impact on English correct betting best tips football has been remarkable. From his early struggles at Chelsea to his rise to stardom at Roma. And his immediate impact at Liverpool. Salah has shown that he is one of his generation’s most talented and influential footballers. His incredible goal-scoring ability, remarkable work ethic, off-field impact. And philanthropy have helped transform English fixed matches 1×2 football. He has inspired a new generation of fans and players. As Salah continues to break records and inspire fans worldwide. His impact on the game will undoubtedly be felt for years.

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Day: Sunday    Date: 18.09.2022

League: NORWAY Eliteserien
Match: Valerenga – Sandefjord
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 4:0 Won

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With Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2 finances to sports, betting is a mixture of skill and luck. The key to long-term success is not to pick winners, but to find value and make consistent profits. Betting tipsters soccer 1×2 predictions often promise high strike rates, but can they perform consistently in the long run? The answer lies in what is called the Paradox of Skill.

The variability in your betting 1×2 fixed match outcomes, and therefore your profits, is a combination of the variance in your skill and the variance in luck. Although sporting outcomes are subject to inherent randomness, on average if your assessment of an outcome probability (in other words the odds) is better than those published by the bookmaker, you will have secured Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2 positive expectation.

What do the odds represent?

The bookmaker’s odds, however, are to a significant extent a reflection of the market’s opinion about the outcome probability, discounting the influence of the margin. What is the market? It’s simply the collection of bettors expressing opinions about the likelihood of the outcome with their money.

In other words, the betting odds fixed matches today merely represent a weighted average opinion of players engaged in a Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2 contest, in which the key to success is to have better forecasting skills than your opponents. If you do, you are likely to find value and make a profit over the long term. Sounds easy enough. Why, then, is finding consistent value so difficult? The answer lies in what is called the Paradox of Skill.

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Lessons from baseball

In 1941, Ted Williams, a Major League Baseball player for the Boston Red Sox, had a batting average of 0.406. Considering that typical batting averages have remained largely unchanged since the origins of the professional game in the 1870s (around 0.25 to 0.28), this was a remarkable achievement, and something that has not been repeated since.

Arguably, however, Williams would not score anything like that average in today’s league, given the improvements in training, fitness, diet and general professionalism. So what’s going on? Firstly, the batting average is simply a measure of relative skill, between the pitcher on the one hand and the batter on the other.

As Major League Baseball has become more professionalised, batters have individually become more skilled at hitting. At the same time, however, pitchers have become more skilled at pitching. Michael Mauboussin, author of The Success Equation, describes this as a kind of arms race: absolute skills improve across the board, but relative skills, on average, remain Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2 more or less the same.

Secondly, whilst overall skill levels have improved, the difference between the best and worst hitters (and pitchers) has shrunk. We can explain this by imagining there to be a ‘wall’ of human ability. In the early years of professional baseball, a few players were already approaching the ‘wall’ but most were still quite some way away. Over time, progressively better hitters (and pitchers) were replacing the weaker ones, and as a consequence the difference between best and worst has narrowed.

The harder you work, the luckier you get

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Since the observed variance in outcomes is the variance in skill plus the variance in luck, a decrease in the variance of skill (with the variance in luck remaining the same) should reveal itself in the observed variation in batting averages, quantified by means of the standard deviation.

Sure enough, during the first years of Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2 (1870s), standard deviation in batting averages was around 0.05, meaning around two-thirds of all batting averages were roughly in the range 0.2 to 0.3, with about 95% between 0.15 and 0.35.

Today, the standard deviation is about half of what it was. Consequently, extreme outliers have become less common. In the 19th century we might have expected a batting average of 0.40 to appear once in every 1,000 hitters; today that might be more like 1 in a million.

Mauboussin also reminds us that as the variance in skill diminishes the variance in luck, luck will assume an ever-increasing importance in the calculation of outcomes. “If everyone gets better at something, luck plays a more important role in determining who wins.”

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What is a Draw No Bet?

When betting on regular time soccer outcomes that are catered for by 1X2 odds fixed matches football, bettors often want the option of a more simple two-way market. There are two common choices available for this, Double Chance – combining home & draw or away & draw as the two options  – or Draw No Bet, which as its name implies, removes the option of a draw from a bet – allowing bettors to bet on either a home or away win. They win if their team wins and get their stake back if the match ends in draw.

In comparison if bettors bet on a straight home or away victory, success is dependent on that outcome alone – if the match ends in draw fixed matches tips 1×2, they lose. It’s therefore logical that your return from a Draw No Bet (and accordingly, Draw No Bet odds) will be somewhere between straight 1X2 fixed matches tips and Double Chance.

Bettors can therefore combine fixed matches soccer 1X2 odds to work like a Draw No Bet. To do this they need to cover the stake on a home win by their profit on the draw; that way, if the match ends in draw, their net profit will be zero, and that’s effectively what you want to achieve.

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Halftime Fulltime Fixed Matches Big Odds

Alternatively, FixedMatch.Bet offer numerous Asian Handicap fixed matches lines. As explained, the Asian Handicap +0.5 works exactly as Double Chance, while Asian Handicap 0 is known as “PK”. What Draw No Bet offers that an Asian Handicap fixed matches football doesn’t, is the chance of building extra value into your bet by Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2 shopping around.

Example of FREE FIXED BETTING MATCHES 1×2 at FixedMatch.Bet

Lets look at an example where you would use a Draw No Bet with MANIPULATED FIXED MATCHES at FixedMatch.Bet. You believe Aston Villa are too strong for Chelsea, and you want to stake £100 on Villa at 7.790 to win, but you want an insurance – your money back – if the match ends in a draw.

Other bookmakers price this bet at 4.90 and 5.50. This means, your stake of £100 would yield a winning profit between £390 and £450.

FixedMatch.Bet as mentioned offer odds of 7.790 for Villa to win, the draw is priced 4.300, while Chelsea’s win is worth 1.518. Can we use these odds to our advantage?

For the purpose of our example our stake for Villa to win is labeled as S; stake on draw is then (100-S), since we want to bet a total of £100.

If Villa win, you will win (7.790-1)*S on that bet, and you will lose (100-S) on your draw bet; so, your net profit is:

If the match ends in a draw, you will win (4.300-1)*(100-S) from that bet – you want that profit to exactly cover your loss on a home win, which is S therefore:

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This equation is relatively easy to solve, which gives us a value for S of £76.744, which is your stake on a Home win. Stake on draw is (100-76.744) = £23.256.

Let’s check our sums; your profit from the draw will be (4.300-1)*23.256 = 76.745, which is just equal to your loss on a home win bet fixed matches tips 1×2, so you achieved what you wanted: you break even in case of a draw.

Now let’s see what happens if Villa beat Chelsea in this example. You win (7.790-1)*76.744 = £521.092, and you lose £23.256 on the draw; so you net a total of £497.84, which ranges from 9% more than the best industry offer on this market (you remember, £450) to as much as 21% more than rest of the industry. So was it worth the hassle? A 9 to 21% profit increase should be sufficient motivation to calculate the stakes.

From the above example, it’s easy to derive a general rule for the Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2. If you label the total amount of money you want to risk with TOTAL, odds for Home Win with HOME, Away Win with AWAY, and odds for Draw with DRAW Fixed Matches 1×2, then:

Which gives you the stake for a home win as:

As you can see, stake depends only on odds for the draw, which will facilitate your calculation – it’s the same for both home draw no bet and away draw no bet. But if you want to calculate the effective odds, then you need to include odds for home win and away win.

Sportal Tips 1×2 Fixed Matches

Do you have to now use other bookmakers, who are offering worse odds? Let’s investigate. With our paid REALITY TIPS FIXED MATCHES, you have nothing to worry about. You can even opt for our PSG FIXED MATCHES to get the best results.

Remember, odds represent ratio of return and stake. Using the same labels as above, in case of home win, our return is:

HOME * S,

or, when we replace S from formula above:

Therefore,

Or, after making up this formula:

Equally, for Away Win Draw No Bet:

You are now able to quickly calculate Draw No bet stakes and odds from a Free Fixed Betting Matches 1×2, allowing you to identify the better value FixedMatch.Bet offers compared to other bookmakers, and additionally to employ this calculation across two bookmakers to potentially engineer even better odds than using FixedMatch.Bet alone. Follow all our great tips to win your bets at FixedMatch.Bet and earn profits through successfull betting on football fixed matches.

Exploring the 1Win App in Kenya

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1Win Dominates Kenya’s Betting Scene

In the bustling world of online betting in Kenya, one mobile application has emerged as a game-changer – the 1Win app. The innovative platform https://1win.ke/app/ has revolutionized the way Kenyans participate in betting, presenting several notable advantages over the traditional mobile version of the site.

A User-Friendly Experience

The 1Win mobile application capitalizes on providing a seamless user experience. Its user-friendly interface allows bettors to create accounts, deposit funds, place bets, and play casino games effortlessly. The app is designed to work seamlessly with both iOS and Android smartphones, making it accessible to a wide range of users.

Unlike the mobile version of the site, the 1Win app consolidates all features into one easy-to-navigate platform. Bettors can access everything they need within the app, eliminating the need to switch between different web pages. This streamlined approach makes betting straightforward and enjoyable, even for those new to the scene.

Accessibility and Efficiency

The 1Win mobile application takes accessibility to a new level. With the app, betting becomes a portable activity that you can engage in anytime, anywhere. Whether you’re commuting, taking a lunch break, or relaxing at home, the 1Win app ensures your favorite games are just a tap away.

Moreover, the app boasts an efficient payment system. Users can make deposits and withdrawals directly through the app, freeing them from the need to visit physical betting shops or banks. This level of efficiency is a significant advantage over the mobile version of the site.

Why Kenyans Prefer 1Win

The 1Win mobile application has quickly become a firm favorite among Kenyan betting enthusiasts. The app offers high odds, live-streaming, a cash-out feature, instant payouts, and an attractive welcome bonus for new users. These enticing features have made the 1Win app a popular choice in the Kenyan betting market.

The spread of smartphones and the growth of mobile money in Kenya have also contributed to the popularity of the 1Win app. The convenience and flexibility offered by the app align perfectly with the fast-paced, mobile-centric lifestyle of many Kenyans.

Downloading 1Win App in Kenya

In today’s digital age, the convenience of mobile betting is a boon for enthusiasts. The 1Win mobile application has become a popular choice among Kenyan bettors due to its user-friendly interface and seamless functionality. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to download and install the 1Win mobile application on both Android and iOS devices.

Installing 1Win on Android Devices

Downloading and installing the 1Win application on your Android device involves a few simple steps.

  • Start by visiting the official 1Win website using your preferred mobile browser.
  • Once you’re on the site, navigate to the ‘Mobile Applications’ section.
  • In this section, you’ll find the apk file for Android devices. Tap on it to initiate the download process.
  • After the apk file has been downloaded, locate it in your device’s ‘Downloads’ folder.
  • Tap on the downloaded file to start the installation process.
  • You may be prompted to allow installations from unknown sources. Go to your device settings and enable this option.
  • Once enabled, proceed with the installation. After the installation is complete, you can open the app and start enjoying your betting experience.
  • Remember that only the official website of the bookmaker is available for download. Downloading from other sources might expose your device to security risks.

Downloading 1Win on iOS Devices

For iOS users, the process of downloading and installing the 1Win app is just as straightforward.

  • Open your Safari browser and visit the 1Win website.
  • Navigate to the ‘Mobile Applications’ section.
  • Select the ‘iOS’ option to access the download link for iOS devices.
  • Click ‘Download’ to start downloading the app. The app will be automatically installed on your device after the download.
  • After the installation, you might need to trust the developer to run the app. To do this, go to your device settings, select ‘General’, then ‘Device Management’ or ‘Profiles & Device Management’.
  • Find the app profile (it could be under the corporate app section) and select ‘Trust’.
  • After trusting the app, you can open it from your home screen and start betting.

Please note that it’s essential to follow these steps as described to ensure a successful installation of the 1Win app on your iOS device.

1Win Sports and Casino Games

The 1Win mobile application has revolutionized the online betting scene in Kenya. Offering an impressive selection of sports for betting and a wide variety of casino games, it provides a comprehensive betting experience for enthusiasts.

Sports Betting on 1Win

1Win offers users a chance to place bets on a variety of sporting activities. These include well-known sports like football, basketball, and tennis. Each sport comes with its unique set of betting options, allowing users to tailor their betting strategies according to their preferences.

Football, being the most popular sport in Kenya, has extensive coverage on the app. Users can bet on various leagues, including the Premier League, La Liga, and more. The betting options are diverse, ranging from predicting match results to guessing the number of goals scored.

Basketball is another sport that users can bet on. With both NBA and Euro League games available, basketball fans have a plethora of options to choose from. Betting options include predicting the match winner, total points scored, and individual player performances.

Tennis enthusiasts aren’t left out either. 1Win offers betting opportunities on major tennis tournaments like the Grand Slams, ATP, and WTA tours. Users can place bets on match results, set scores, and player performances.

Casino Games on 1Win

Beyond sports betting, the 1Win app also features a range of casino games. These include slots, roulette, blackjack, poker, and other top online casino games. Slots are a staple in any casino, and 1Win is no exception. The app offers a variety of slot games with different themes and payout structures. Whether you prefer traditional 3-reel slots or modern video slots, there’s something for everyone.

Roulette is another popular choice among casino game enthusiasts. 1Win offers several variants of roulette, including European, American, and French versions. The thrill of watching the wheel spin and the ball land on a chosen number makes roulette an exciting game for many.

Blackjack and poker games are also available on the 1Win app. These classic card games require strategy and skill, making them a hit among more experienced casino players. Users can choose from a variety of poker variants, including Texas Hold’em and Omaha.

Last but not least, 1Win offers crash games like Aviator and Lucky Jet. Crash games involve betting on an increasing multiplier, with the aim to cash out before the multiplier crashes. These games are fast-paced and exciting, providing a unique casino gaming experience.

In conclusion, the 1Win mobile application offers a diverse range of sports betting options and casino games, catering to all types of betting and gaming preferences. Whether you’re a sports enthusiast or a casino game lover, there’s something for everyone on the 1Win app.

Betting and Gaming on 1Win

The 1Win mobile application has become a popular choice for online betting and gaming in Kenya. This step-by-step guide will walk you through the process of placing a bet or playing a game in the online casino, beginning with registration to making your first bet or game.

Registration and Account Verification

To place a bet or play a game in the 1Win mobile application, the first step is to create an account. Here’s how to do that:

  • Complete the 1Win apk download from the official 1Win website.
  • Open the downloaded app and click on the ‘Register’ button.
  • Fill out the registration form with your personal information.
  • Click on the green ‘Register’ button to finalize your registration.

Once your account is created, you must verify it by providing copies of your identification documents. This is a necessary step to ensure the security of your account and to comply with betting regulations.

Placing a Bet on 1Win

After registration and verification, you can start placing your bets. The process is as follows:

  • Log into your 1Win account using your credentials.
  • Select the ‘Sports’ section from the main page, or use the search box to find a specific sport.
  • Choose a particular match you’d like to bet on.
  • Click on the odds that you prefer. This will add the selection to your betting slip.
  • Enter the amount you wish to bet in the betting slip.
  • Click on ‘Make Bet’ to place your bet.

Remember, the formation of a betting coupon involves selecting the odds for a particular match and adding them to your betting slip. You can add multiple selections to your betting slip to create a multi-bet.

Playing Casino Games on 1Win

If you’re more interested in casino games, 1Win has a variety of options to choose from. Here’s how you can get started:

  • Log into your 1Win account.
  • Navigate to the ‘Casino’ section from the main menu.
  • Browse through the available games, which include slots, roulette, blackjack, poker, and crash games like Aviator and Lucky Jet.
  • Click on a game that interests you to open it.
  • Follow the instructions provided for that specific game to place your bets.

Whether you’re placing a bet on your favorite sports team or trying your luck at an online casino game, the 1Win mobile application makes the process simple and straightforward. With its user-friendly interface and comprehensive selection of betting and gaming options, it’s no surprise that 1Win has become a popular choice for online betting and gaming in Kenya.

1Win Transactions in Kenya

The 1Win mobile application is a popular platform for online betting in Kenya. Along with its user-friendly interface and wide range of sports and casino games, 1Win also offers secure and straightforward transactions. Here is a guide on how to make a deposit and withdraw money in the 1Win mobile application in Kenya.

Making a Deposit

Adding funds to your 1Win account is a simple process. Follow these steps to make a deposit:

  • Log into your 1Win account.
  • Tap on the ‘Account’ icon located at the top of the homepage.
  • Select the ‘Deposit’ tab from the dropdown menu.
  • Choose your preferred payment method from the options available. These can include bank cards, e-wallets, or even cryptocurrencies.
  • Enter the amount you wish to deposit.
  • Confirm the transaction by clicking on ‘Deposit’.
  • Follow any additional instructions based on your selected payment method.

The deposited amount should reflect in your 1Win account balance almost instantly, depending on the chosen payment method.

Withdrawing Money

Withdrawing your winnings from your 1Win account is just as easy. Here’s how to do it:

  • Ensure you’re logged into your 1Win account.
  • Click on the ‘Account’ icon at the top of the home page.
  • From the dropdown menu, select the ‘Withdrawal’ tab.
  • Choose your preferred withdrawal method from the available options.
  • Input the amount you want to withdraw.
  • Click on ‘Withdraw’ to initiate the process.

Please note that the withdrawal times can vary based on the selected method. Also, ensure that your account is fully verified before initiating a withdrawal to avoid any delays or issues.

Updated: February 17, 2024 — 6:24 am

Live Football Fixed Betting

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Live Football Fixed Betting

Live Football Fixed Betting

Hot Fixed Bets 100% Sure Matches
Day: Tuesday    Date: 07.03.2023

League: ENGLAND National League North
Match: King’s Lynn – Farsley
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.70    Result: 1:2 Won

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Live Football Fixed Betting: Erling Haaland’s Potential

Football Fixed Betting is always on the lookout for its next superstar, one player who can take the game to new heights and capture the hearts and imaginations of fans worldwide. And in recent years, a new name has emerged as a leading contender for that title: Erling Haaland. The young Norwegian striker has been making waves in the football world fixed matches with his incredible performances, exceptional goal-scoring ability, and seemingly limitless potential.

With his combination of skill, speed, and power, Haaland has the potential to be football’s next big thing, and his rise to stardom is only just beginning. In this article, we will explore Haaland’s journey, remarkable talent, and potential to become one of football’s all-time greats.

Live Football Fixed Betting: Early Life and Career

Erling Haaland was born to Norwegian parents on July 21, 2000, in Leeds, England. Alf-Inge Haaland Sr. has played for Leeds United, Manchester City, and the Norwegian national team. Haaland’s family returned to Norway when he was three years old, where he spent his formative years in Bryne. We use Paid Fixed Matches Whatsapp to offer our VIP Ticket Combo Rigged Matches through Confirmed Odds Experts.

Haaland’s love of football weekend fixed bets 1×2 was evident from an early age, and he began playing for the Bryne FK club when he was only five years old. He was immediately recognized as a promising young player, and other Norwegian teams expressed interest in him.

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When he was 16, Haaland joined Molde FK, a Norwegian professional football team. He tried out for the junior team and quickly won everyone with his goal-scoring abilities. He debuted for Molde’s first team in the Norwegian Cup the following year, scoring four goals.

In 2018, Haaland kept his name on the Norwegian football map by scoring 14 goals in 18 games for Molde. His performance earned him a spot on the Norwegian national team, where he debuted in September 2018.

Haaland’s early career showed signs of his potential as a prolific goal-scorer, which would later be fully realized on the international stage. His performances in Norway caught the attention of scouts from around Europe, leading to his move to Red Bull Salzburg in January 2019.

Haaland’s breakthrough performance in the 2019-20 season

Erling Haaland’s move to Red Bull Salzburg in January 2019 was seen as a step up in his career. However, few could have predicted his incredible impact on the team in the following season. Haaland’s incredible 2019–20 campaign cemented his status as one of the game’s most promising up-and-comers. Here are the key moments and achievements from his breakthrough season.

Live Football Fixed Matches Impressive Debut

Haaland debuted for Red Bull Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga in July 2019. He scored a hat-trick in just 23 minutes on the pitch, announcing his arrival in style. This performance set the tone for the season and gave a glimpse of Haaland’s incredible talent.

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Record-Breaking UEFA Champions League Campaign

Haaland’s performances in the UEFA Champions League were nothing short of sensational. Which is why he was our focus for Manipulated Paid Fixed Bets, Scotland Correct Score Bets and Genuine 1×2 Betting. With eight goals in six games during the group stage, he became the tournament’s youngest player to score in five consecutive games. He is now the third-youngest player in Champions League history, trailing only Raul and Wayne Rooney, thanks to his hat trick against Genk.

Before Salzburg was eliminated, Haaland’s play had already piqued the interest of some of Europe’s best teams. He was in high demand throughout January due to his goal-scoring ability.

Domestic Success in Austria

Haaland’s performances in the Austrian Bundesliga were equally impressive. He scored 16 goals in 14 league games, helping Salzburg to top the table.

Haaland’s impact on the team went beyond just his goalscoring. His work rate, physicality, and intelligence on the pitch made him a key part of the Salzburg team. He often dropped deep to link up play, created chances for his teammates, and drove the team forward. You can also use our site to get Strong Fixed Reliable Sources for Winning Global Fixed Matches.

Live Football Fixed Betting Personal Achievements

Haaland’s performances in the 2019-20 season earned him numerous personal accolades. At the Norwegian Football Awards, he was named the Austrian Bundesliga’s Player of the Year, the Golden Boy, and the Breakthrough Player of the Year. As a result of his play, he was also shortlisted for the coveted Ballon d’Or.

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Move to Borussia Dortmund

Erling Haaland’s move to Borussia Dortmund was one of the biggest transfer stories of the 2020 January transfer window. The Norwegian striker, who had been in sensational form for Red Bull Salzburg, was heavily sought after by several top European clubs, including Manchester United and Juventus. However, Dortmund won the race for his signature, with the 19-year-old signing a four-and-a-half-year deal with the Bundesliga club.

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Haaland’s move to Dortmund surprised many. Given that the club had not been strongly linked with him before the transfer window opened. However, it soon became clear that Dortmund had been tracking the striker for some time. And had even met with him and his representatives. In Salzburg to discuss a potential move. Get Guaranteed HT FT Odds, Big Money League Betting and more Fixed Matches details on our site.

One of the key factors in Haaland’s decision to join Dortmund was the presence of head coach Lucien Favre. The Swiss tactician had a reputation for developing young players. And had previously worked with Marco Reus and Jadon Sancho at the club. Haaland was also impressed by the club’s history of nurturing young talent. And saw Dortmund as the perfect place to continue his development.

In his first game for c, the team beat Augsburg 5-3, and Haaland scored a hat trick. During the second half of the season, he scored 16 goals in only 18 games. Leading Dortmund to a second-place finish in the Bundesliga.

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The Norwegian’s performances also caught the attention of some of Europe’s biggest clubs. With Real Madrid and Barcelona both said to be interested in signing him. However, Dortmund was determined to keep hold of their prized asset. And Haaland himself has expressed his satisfaction with life at the club.

Live Football Fixed Betting Haaland’s Playing Style and Skills

Erling Haaland is widely regarded as one of the most promising young footballers in the world. Thanks in no small part to his impressive skillset and playing style. Here are some of the key attributes that make Haaland such a highly sought-after player:

Speed and Power

Haaland is an incredibly fast and strong player with a powerful build that allows him to brush off defenders easily. He is also an excellent runner with the ball, using his speed and power to drive at opponents and create scoring opportunities.

Clinical Finishing

Haaland is a natural goalscorer with an impressive ability to find the back of the net from almost any position. He is particularly adept at finishing with both feet and has a powerful shot that can beat even the best goalkeepers.

Movement and Positioning

Haaland is an intelligent player who knows how to find space and make runs to get into scoring positions. He is always looking to make himself available to his teammates and has a great sense of timing when running into the box.

Fixed Matches Work Rate

Despite his young age, Haaland is also a hardworking and committed player who is unafraid to put in the hard yards for his team. He is often seen tracking back and defending from the front and is always willing to press opponents and win the ball back for his team.

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Mental Toughness

Finally, Haaland is a mentally strong player who thrives under pressure. He has a great attitude and a fierce determination to win and is not easily intimidated by tough opponents or difficult situations. This mental toughness will serve him well as he continues to develop and grow as a player.

Live Football Fixed Betting Erling Haaland ‘s Records

Erling Haaland, only 22 years old, has already etched his name in history with an astonishing array of accomplishments. The teenage football best secure tips 1×2 prodigy’s record-breaking performances have cemented his place among the sport’s all-time greats.

Haaland’s tremendous potential was evident when he became the youngest player in UEFA Champions League history to score 20 goals, a feat he accomplished at 20 years and 231 days. He became the quickest player in Champions League history to score 25 goals in only 20 games. Haaland also cemented his place as a Champions League legend by becoming the first player in tournament history to score multiple goals in four consecutive games.

Moving To Bundesliga

The Norwegian attacker then moved to the German Bundesliga, where he continued his record-breaking run. His incredible goal-scoring ability resulted in the highest minutes-per-goal ratio in Bundesliga history among players with at least 25 goals, and he became the first player in league history to score five goals in his first two appearances (a staggering 87 minutes per goal).

Following that, Haaland continued his stellar play. He scored on his Manchester City Premier League and Champions League debuts and set a Premier League record with nine goals in his first five games. He became the first player in Premier League history to score a hat trick in three consecutive home matches and holds the record for most Premier League goals scored in August (nine).

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The quality of Haaland’s records is as impressive as its quantity. He is the Premier League’s quickest player to three league hat-tricks, having done so in only eight games. He is only the third player in Manchester City history to score a hat trick, and his performance will go down in the annals of the club’s legend.

Furthermore, Haaland holds the record for the most Premier League goals scored, totaling 21.

Final Thoughts

In conclusion, Erling Haaland’s rise to prominence in football correct score matches betting has been extraordinary. His outstanding performances have already broken several records, and he has proven that he has the potential to become the sport’s next superstar. With his exceptional skills, impressive physique, and unrelenting drive, Haaland has set the footballing world alight and captured the hearts of fans worldwide.

As he dazzles on the pitch and makes headlines, the question remains: How far can Erling Haaland go? Only time will tell, but one thing is certain – the young Norwegian has all the ingredients needed to become one of the greatest footballers ever.

Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites

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Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites

Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites

Find Fixed Matches 100% Sure
Day: Saturday    Date: 17.09.2022

League: ICELAND Besta-deild karla
Match: Vikingur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 2:2 Won

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Where to find fixed matches 100% sure

This article Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites explains to soccer bettors how to use standard deviation for handicap betting fixed odds matches. By understanding this, you can gauge the probability of a team covering the spread more accurately, which can translate to more profit.

These previous articles explained why bettors shouldn’t rely solely on the average and how the standard deviation can be used to calculate probabilities.

However how can bettors use this information to aid their Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites? Here we take things further by using the standard deviation to predict better handicap results fixed matches.

Using REAL FIXED MATCHES BETTING SITES as a testcase

Below we use data from the 2020/21 season for the top divisions in England, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Spain and Turkey.

The table highlights the goal differences – between home and away Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites – during last season. A positive goal difference indicates that the home team won, while a negative goal difference represents an away team win.

The table highlights some similarities:

  • Biggest home win was typically between 5 and 7 goals
  • Biggest away win was typically 5 goals
  • Most likely goal difference is a draw
  • Home teams tend to score more than away teams

However as bettors would expect there are some variances between Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites. The Greek Superleague has a higher goal difference average, while the most frequent goal difference sees the home team winning by one goal.

In comparison the Portuguese Primeira Liga has the lowest average goal difference, while France’s Ligue 1 and Spain’s La Liga are at differing extremes of the standard deviation.

How to find the best site for fixed matches

The graph below shows how the distribution of goal differences, if modelled using a normal distribution (read this article), can be helpful in understanding these subtle differences.

By looking at the graphs bettors should note:

  • The lower the standard deviation (France & Portugal) the narrower the curve.
  • The mid-point of the graph is higher for the Greek Superleague than any other league.

So how does this affect REAL FIXED MATCHES BETTING SITES?

Now we have the data we can relate it to the soccer handicap market fixed matches. For example by inputting the data above in the form below you can calculate the probability of a team winning by a number of goals, something very helpful for handicap bettors.

The probabilities shown in the table above highlight the chance of a home win and the home team winning by more than 2.5 goals across the leagues mentioned earlier.

From the data we can see that on average home teams in France score more than in Germany (0.3763 vs 0.3743), however they are less likely to win and less likely to win by a large margin. Why is this?

It’s due to a lower standard deviation (1.5975 vs 1.7757), which means goal differences in France are less likely to be at the extreme end of the scale.

The largest average goal difference

The Greek and Spanish are the only leagues in which a home team is more likely to win than draw or lose – it’s not that surprising given they have the largest average goal difference.

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Despite home Greek teams being more likely to win, Spanish teams are more prone to win by a bigger margin. The reason? The higher standard deviation in Spain shows that there is a higher likelihood of extreme goal differences in La Liga.  Bettors can start to see a pattern forming here.

Similarly in England home teams win less often than in Turkey, but a higher spread of goals means bettors may find more value manipulated football fixed betting on the home team to cover the handicap than in Turkey.

Bettors should note that the higher standard deviation in some leagues can lead to a higher proportion of large wins and losses, something valuable to handicap fixed matches tips bettors.

How to use Standard Deviation for handicap betting fixed matches

The use of the normal distribution has been discuss from a different perspective in this article and explains how to use Standard Deviation for handicap betting fixed odds. The assumptions set in other articles still apply though: chiefly the distribution must be a bell shape curve and not skew to any side. In future we will discuss how to test this assumption in greater detail.

Dominic Cortis is a lecturer with the Department of Mathematics at The University of Leicester; and an assistant lecturer at The University of Malta. He is an associate actuary and his research focuses on sports analytics as well as financial and fixed games 1×2 betting derivatives.

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As a bettor are you aware that you can use standard deviation to predict betting football tips 1×2 outcomes? Find out what the standard deviation is, how to calculate it and apply it to your betting.

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In a previous article, we explained why bettors should not solely rely on the average, given its tendency to be influenced by outliers, and its inability to show the dispersion within a set of numbers.

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Dispersion can be measure in many ways, one of which is the standard deviation – a quantity expressing by how much the value of a group differ from the mean value for the group. Different metrics are either use directly or are input parameters for a function or distribution.

Poisson vs. Normal Distribution

For example, bettors know to use a Poisson distribution model to predict the number of goals score per team in a soccer games betting tips 1×2. However, this distribution has just one input parameter – the average – and is a discrete distribution – produces outputs as whole numbers.

A Poisson distribution model can estimate directly the likelihood of scoring one goal, rather than the probability of a goal occurring between the 25th and 30th minute (although it can be extended to derive these).

Normal distribution – the bell or MANIPULATED FIXED MATCHES – is also popular. This is a different model to Poisson for a number of reasons but also because it’s a continuous distribution, based on two parameters: the average and standard deviation.

Predicting goals spread in the Premier League Fixed Matches

As a test case let’s look at game goal difference in soccer max stake fixed matches. The goal difference per match seems to be normally distribute. The goal difference is the number of goals score by the home team minus the goals score by the away team, with a zero resulting in a draw.

Lets look at the data from the 2013/14 Premier League season:

  • Man City recorded the biggest home win – 7-0 against Norwich
  • Liverpool’s 5-0 win at Tottenham was the biggest away victory
  • The average goal difference was 0.3789 (median & mode = 0)
  • The standard deviation was 1.9188.

A number of conclusions can be take from the data. Primarily the most popular goal difference is a draw, and the distribution is close to symmetric, with a favour towards home wins. However, our focus for the article is the standard deviation.

Calculating the Standard Deviation The normal distribution uses the two parameters (average and standard deviation) to create a standardised curve. In this, around 68% of the distribution lies within one standard deviation away from the mean, and 95% lies within 2 standard deviations.

In this case we expect 68% of games to end up between -1.5399 and 2.2977 goals (i.e. 0.3789 + 1.9188). The continuous nature of the curve does have its limitations: -1.5399 goal difference is not possible.

In order to estimate a home win by a goal difference of 1, 1 can be moved from a discrete (whole) value of 1, to represent the continuous range between 0.5 and 1.5. For each value we can then calculate its difference from the mean in terms of standard deviations.

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Need to find the area of the region

The great thing about this is that we can now remodel the normal distribution as shown. In this case we’d need to find the area of the region shade in orange.

The area shade in blue, showing the of less than 1 goal (or its continuous equivalent being less than 0.5 goals) can be found to be 52.15%.

While it is not the aim to delve deep into the calculation of this, it can be find using most Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites (in MS Excel: =NORM.DIST(0.5,0.3789, 1.9188,1). Similarly the probability of under 1.5 goals is 72.05%. Therefore we expect 19.53% between these two values.

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Consequently out of 380 matches, we would have estimated 74.22 games ending with the home team winning with just one goal difference. In reality there were 75 games, so this was very close.

By repeating this for all goal differences, we can compare the actual and estimated number of games that ended up with different goal differences.

The table below shows that the discrepancy is minimal and the normal distribution appears to be a good fit – (there are ways to test for normality and this Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites fits nicely for 2013/14 EPL data).

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The probability of a home team

Let’s now assume the distribution is correct for the current Premier League fixed matches season. So as a spread bettor you may want to know what the probability of a home team winning by one or more goals is in the Premier League? This is therefore equivalent to the 1 – 52.52%, which is 47.48%.

Obviously this is a general estimate and applies to the Premier league in general rather than individual teams – bettors would be advise to work out individual teams data rather than that of the EPL in general.

In conclusion, the standard deviation is not just a measure of Real Fixed Matches Betting Sites, whereby a higher value displays more dispersion within a group; it’s also an important parameter to measure probabilities, something very helpful for sports bettors. In a future article we will focus on how a different standard deviation can affect probabilities and spreads.

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Saturday Fixed Matches
Day: Saturday    Date: 03.02.2024

League: GERMANY Bundesliga
Match: Darmstadt – Bayer Leverkusen
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 0:2 Lost

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Predictz Soccer Predictions: EPL Playmakers Award Favorites and The Favorites To Go Down In 2023-24 Season

The English Premier League Playmaker Award, which is among the more prominent honors, is given to the athletes who helped create the goals. In the past, attack players who scored the most goals were given the most credit. However, nowadays, assisting athletes are also given more credit, and the English Premier League is full of these assists. 4 athletes have won the Playmaker Award after it was 1st presented in 2017-18, with Kevin De Bruyne dominating the squad with 3. Our Predictz Soccer Predictions can take your betting game to new heights of success.

Initially with sixteen assists, the Belgian took home the title. In 2019–20, he equaled the previous high with twenty assists; the previous season, he scored sixteen once more. Harry Kane, Mohamed Salah, and fellow countryman Eden Hazard are beside him; the last two also took home the Golden Boot and the Playmaker Award. For the duration he plays in the English Premier League, De Bruyne will continue to be one of the favorites to take home the Playmaker Award. However, after missing a significant amount of activity due to injury, this year’s winner should be someone else’s name. Facing Newcastle, though, he returned with a helper. Who Will Win?

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So, which athlete will be the one to stand and inherit his crown? Mohamed Salah is leading the league with 8 assists. However, Harry Kane is no longer playing in the English Premier League. The Egyptian is having a great year thus far and is ranked well among the English Premier League’s top goalies. But as of right now, one more athlete has joined him on 8 assists. So, who will be the one to get the crown this year? Here are the odds for them and a little information on the clubs that might be going down soon.

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The English Premier League Favorites And Odds For Playmaker Awards

  • The odds for Kieran Trippier from Newcastle are at 5/1
  • The odds for Mohamed Salah from Liverpool are at 7/1
  • The odds for Ollie Watkins  from Aston Villa are at 10/1
  • The odds for Pedro Neto from Wolves are at 10/1
  • The odds for Bukayo Saka from Arsenal are at 11/1
  • The odds for Pascal Gross from Brighton are at 14/1
  • The odds for Julian Alvarez from Manchester City are at 14/1
  • The odds for James Ward-Prowse from West Ham United are at 16/1
  • The odds for Jeremy Doku from Manchester City are at 16/1

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Predictz Soccer Predictions: The Most Assists In The English Premier League 2023-24 Season

The athletes listed below have the majority of the assists in the English Premier League season 2023-24. All of these athletes are ranked accurately and the athletes with equal amounts of assists are ranked by comparing their playing minutes.

  • Mohamed Salah has eight assists, 5.78 xA, and 1,743 minutes played.
  • Ollie Watkins has eight assists, 2.83,xA, and 1,849 minutes played.
  • Pedro Neto has seven assists, 2.63,xA, and 897 minutes played.
  • Kieran Trippier has seven assists, 6.11,xA, and 1,665 minutes played.
  • Pedro Porro has seven assists, 4.58,xA, and 1,797 minutes played.
  • Darwin Nunez has six assists, 1.6,4 xA, and 1,119 minutes played.
  • Anthony Elanga has six assists, 2.5,6 xA, and 1,361 minutes played.
  • Pascal Groß has six assists, 4.43,xA, and 1,553 minutes played.
  • Phil Foden has six assists, 3.81, xA, and 1,607 minutes played.
  • Bukayo Saka has six assists, 6.53 xA and 1,665 minutes played.

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The Top Playmakers Of The English Premier League Season 2023-24

All the top playmakers of this year are listed below. However, the athletes who currently have the same amount of chances are ranked by their playing minutes.

  • Bruno Fernandes created 55 chances, with 39 open plays, and played 1,800 minutes.
  • Kieran Trippier created 54 chances, with 34 open plays, and played 1,665 minutes.
  • Pascal Groß created 51 chances, with 34 open, plays, and played 1,553 minutes.
  • Bukayo Saka created 50 chances, with 36 open plays, and played 1,665 minutes.
  • Trent Alexander Arnold created 49 chances, with 27 open, plays, and played 1,500 minutes.
  • Julian Alvarez created 48 chances, with 32 open plays, and played 1,685 minutes.
  • Mohamed Salah created 47 chances, with 46 open plays, and played 1,743 minutes.
  • Martin Odegaard created 44 chances, with 35 open plays, and played 1,508 minutes.
  • Dejan Kulusevski created 43 chances, with 43 open, plays, and played 1,672 minutes.
  • Phil Foden created 42 chances, with 36 open plays, and played 1,607 minutes.

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Predictz Soccer Predictions: The Clubs That Might Be Relegated From The English Premier League 2023-24

We are currently standing over the halfway point of the English Premier League 2023-24 season. The selection of the winners and relegated clubs is not really close. The relegation battle is ongoing and the results are soon to be out. So, here are the clubs that might be relegated from the English Premier League season 2023-24.

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Sheffield United

As is frequently the situation, the teams who have just advanced are among the favorites to drop right back out at the beginning of the year. However, Sheffield United has a track record of surprising people; following their promotion in 2019–20, they finished 9th. Sadly, with the Blades’ favorites to lose, a rematch is quite unthinkable. With only 2 victories and fifteen losses thus far, they are in a terrible place. Among the victories was the one facing Brentford, Chris Wilder’s 2nd match in command after Paul Heckingbottom’s dismissal upon his comeback to the team. This was a significant win since they were beginning to appear disoriented. Nevertheless, the Blades responded with 1 point out of a possible twelve.

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Luton

Luton, one more freshly advanced team, hadn’t played in the EPL after the day it was founded, thus expectations weren’t great that they would stay for longer than a single season. They are now in the penultimate relegation slot. However, their confidence was bolstered by consecutive victories against Sheffield United and Newcastle. They drove Chelsea from a 3-0 defcit, but were unable to secure 3 victories in a row, failing 3-2. There are hints that they might be secure, but more work and greater outcomes than their tie with Burnley are required.

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Predictz Soccer Predictions: Burnley

For his efforts in his debut season as manager of English soccer, Vincent Kompany was highly praised for his ability to return Burnley to the EPL. In addition to possessing a strong defense and playing excellent soccer, the Clarets led the Championship in goals scored. In the top tier, though, they are having difficulty. After 2 agonizingly missed opportunities to gain 3 points, losing Villa’s and tying with Luton due to goals scored in the closing moments of their games. Burnley is presently ranked nineteenth with twelve points from their first twenty-one games.

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Nottingham Forest

The previous year, many people predicted that Nottingham Forest would fail, and Steve Cooper saw his position in jeopardy several times. That period they both made it through, but 2023-24 has been something else. Nuno Espirito Santo took over for Cooper, and the Portuguese strategist just ended a 7-match losing streak (6 draws and 1 victory) against Newcastle with a 3-1 victory. He followed it up at the City Ground with a decisive 2-1 triumph over Man Utd, moving Forest 4 points clear of the relegation zone.

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Predictz Soccer Predictions: Everton

Everton almost avoided relegation from the EPL in 2022–23 after missing out on a 1-0 victory against Bournemouth on the last day of the campaign for the 2nd consecutive year. Even though Sean Dyche’s team lost their first 3 matches of the year. It appeared as though Everton would comfortably settle into the mid-table this year. As of right now, they are fourteenth with fourteen points. They were dropped back into the lower 3 by a ten-point loss. However, most Toffees supporters are still optimistic about the possibility of making it out of the division.

With 4 consecutive victories against Nottingham Forest, Newcastle United, Chelsea, and Burnley without giving up a goal, Everton has every reason to be high up in the standings. Nevertheless, losses to Wolves, Manchester City, and Spurs have pulled them back within striking length. Everton’s 0-0 stalemate with top-standing Aston Villa has left Luton only one point below. If that were taken away, Everton would be ranked twelve.

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Brentford

Brentford is an unexpected name in the demotion odds and toward the lower side the of standings. Once they were upgraded to the EPL, Thomas Frank’s team excelled. They began the year ranked thirteenth and advanced to 9th the following year. At this point in their campaign, however, they are 3 points above the demotion zone in sixteenth place. Their 5-match failure since defeating Luton at the beginning of December has contributed to their decline. During that streak, Brentford has suffered losses to Wolves, Brighton, Sheffield United, Aston Villa, and Crystal Palace. The last losing 3-1 regardless of holding a commanding early advantage.

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Best site for Fixed Matches
Day: Friday    Date: 16.09.2022

League: NETHERLANDS Eerste Divisie
Match: Zwolle – Den Haag
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 1:2 Won

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In this article Fixed Odds Correct Games level and percentage staking strategies are compared. Which staking method produces the superior expected yield? How do the yield distributions contrast between the two? Read on to find out.

fixedmatch.bet’s Betting Resources has previously compared and contrasted a number of different staking strategies. I’ve looked at the expected profitability and risks of ruin for these strategies. For my latest article I want to compare specifically the two most commonly used plans: level versus percentage staking.

Level staking

With a level staking strategy, all stakes are the same size, regardless of what your Fixed Odds Correct Games are. Some bettors find level staking too inflexible in as much as it takes no account of the probability of winning your bet – or rather the risk of you losing one.

Why, for instance, would you want to risk the same amount of capital on something that has half, or quarter, or an eighth the chance of something else happening? Doesn’t it make more sense to scale stakes so that they are proportional to the risk associated with the bet?

In the short term Fixed Odds Correct Games, such an argument has its merits; over the longer term, perhaps less so. Fixed winning tips 1×2 Betting at longer odds means you are more at the mercy of statistical variance, or luck, both good and bad. More good luck can mean more profit. Unfortunately, the corollary is that more bad luck implies more loss.

However, the longer your betting history is, the smaller that variance becomes. Good and bad luck even out. Readers of my article last month may remember the simple formula I used to estimate the spread (or standard deviation,σ) of possible returns (%) betting n level stakes at ‘fair’ odds of o.

σ=√(o-1)/√n

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Having FIXED ODDS CORRECT GAMES bets

Having four times the number of bets will half the statistical spread of possibilities. Betting longer odds increases the spread of possibilities, but it will still decrease with increasing number of bets. 400 bets at odds of 5, for example, will have the same spread of possibilities as 100 bets at odds of 2.

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Betting the same stake for longer odds does imply a greater risk of capital loss on a bet by bet basis. But over the longer term you are not giving up potential profits by reducing those stakes (provided, of course, you are a bettor holding positive expected value).

Staking to win the same profit regardless of the Fixed Odds Correct Games means less profit will be contributed by the winning longer odds, simple by virtue of the fact they win less often. One might then wonder whether it is even worth bothering to bet longer odds at all.

Percentage FIXED ODDS CORRECT GAMES

Percentage or proportional staking calculates stakes as a proportion of your current bankroll; hence they will increase as your bankroll grows after winning, decrease as it shrinks after losing. Advocates of one specific percentage staking plan, the Kelly criterion, argue that it is the most efficient way to grow a bankroll, although it can only achieve this by requiring a rather aggressive attitude towards risk management.

More generally its appeal lies in allowing a winning bettor to grow their bankroll faster than they could by simply betting level stakes. It’s also worth reminding ourselves that, in theory at least, we can’t ever go bust betting percentage stakes, as even if you lost every single bet ht-ft fixed match, you are never committing the whole of your remaining bankroll, only a proportion of it.

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Nevertheless, it is the interplay of losing and winning in sequence that throws up some rather interesting observations when comparing the performance of this money management strategy with level staking, as we shall see.

Distribution of profits for level versus percentage staking

Consider a betting history of 1,000 bets at odds of 2.00 where the bettor holds a 5% expected value (EV) that is the expectation of returning $105 for every $100 wagered. The projections below shows the spread of profits for level stakes (5 units) and percentage stakes (5%) alike from a 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation.

For level staking the spread of possible profits follows the typical bell-shaped normal distribution curve as we would expect. The average (and median) profit is 250 units, which is what we would expect after turning over 5,000 units holding a 5% advantage.

For percentage staking the shape of the distribution is markedly different, and heavily skewed towards the higher profitability end. Again, it’s probably not that surprising, since a lucky performance could see bankrolls and stakes grow exponentially.

I’ve stopped the chart at a profit of 7,000 units simply for clarity, but the largest profit made in the 10,000 runs was nearly 95,000 units. This skew has a significant influence on the average profit. Whilst the median is still 250 (implying about half are less and half are more profitable), the average is 1,120, weighted by a few very large profits that the Monte Carlo simulation delivered.

Look closely at the left-hand side of the histograms. You will see that there are more underachieving outcomes for percentage staking than for level staking. About 21% of them in this simulation were actually unprofitable, compared to only about 5% for level staking.

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Distribution of FIXED ODDS CORRECT GAMES

Instead of comparing profits, let’s now compare yield percentage for the two staking plans. Clearly for a very profitable percentage staking history, the total turnover of stakes will be much greater.

One percentage staking profit, for example, saw a profit of 2,462 units (compared to 440 from level staking), but to achieve that 33,699 units were turned over (compared to 5,000 units for level staking). In fact, in this example the profit over turnover or yield was lower for percentage staking (6.85%) than it was for level staking (8.80%). Is that typical? The next chart shows how all yields were distributed for the full Monte Carlo simulation.

The average yield from level staking was 5.00%. Compare this to the average for percentage staking which was just half this at 2.51%. The chart also further illustrates how many more possible outcomes are unprofitable when fixed matches tips betting percentage stakes compared to betting level stakes.

We can change the simulation parameters, for example different betting odds and different expected values (EV) held by the bettor.

For this article I chose 40 different EV / Odds pairs. To limit further the number of possible parameter combinations I only consider the percentage stake size equivalent to that dictate by full Kelly staking strategy, calculated by EV / Odds -1, where EV is express as a percentage.

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For example, for the scenario already discuss (EV = 5%, Odds = 2.00), the Kelly percentage is 5% / (2.00 – 1). The percentage stakes are shown below for all 40 combinations. For the level stake scenarios, the magnitude of the percentage was used. Thus, for the EV = 3%, odds = 3.00 combination which implies 1.5% stakes sizes, level stakes of 1.5 units were used. MANIPULATED FIXED MATCHES are a good choice for those looking for guaranteed returns.

Percentage stakes sizes for different EV / odds pairs

The next two tables compare the average yields achieved from the Monte Carlo simulations. For level stakes, the yields are in line with expectation, plus or minus a little bit of random noise which to reduce further would have strained my limited computational resources.

In contrast, the yields from percentage staking are generally about half those values. This was truly an unexpected and perhaps unintuitive finding, although the discussion which follows will reveal why it happens.

Probability of unprofitability

Even sharp bettors holding profitable expected value face a non-zero probability of failing to make a profit over a specified betting history. Of course, the law of large numbers means that probability diminishes as their betting history gets longer. Nevertheless, it’s worth considering those probabilities for these simulated 1,000-bet histories for the purposes of comparting level and percentage staking.

The last two tables show the probability of each EV / Odds combination failing to return a profit based on the 10,000 simulation runs.

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Again, as for average yield there will be a little bit of residual random noise, but the broader pattern is clear: you’re always more likely to fail to show a profit betting percentage stakes compared to betting level stakes, no matter what odds you bet or what EV you hold, and sometimes the magnitude of the difference is considerable.

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Probability of not making a profit after 1,000 bets with level stakes

Probability of not making a profit after 1,000 bets with percentage stakes

By way of example, a reasonably sharp handicapper (odds around 2.00) holding a 3% advantage over the bookmaker could expect to be showing losses after 1,000 3-unit bets about 1 in every 6 times. If, instead, they chose to bet 3% stakes, that would rise to nearly 1 in 3.

An explanation: the asymmetry of percentage losses and gains

Why does percentage staking appear to be inferior to level staking, at least in terms of expected yields and the ability to show a profit? The simple explanation is that it takes a bigger percentage growth to recover a previous loss.

Let’s consider the example of even-money betting halftime fulltime fixed matches. Losing a 5% stake drops a 100-unit bankroll to 95 units. To recover that takes a profit of 5/95 or 5.26%, but the percentage staking strategy would only advocate a next bet of 4.75 units and winning it at odds of 2.00 would return the bankroll 99.75. By contrast, the bankroll from level staking would be back at 100 units.

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The problem is the same in reverse. Losing an even-money bet following a previous even-money winner will lose more absolute capital than was previously won. In this example, regardless of whether you win or lose first, your bankroll is going to finish on 99.75, less than what you started with, despite theoretically holding an expected value of 0% for this pair of bets.

More generally, and regardless of the betting odds fixed matches, when you lose it will take longer to recover; when you win it will take less time to regress.

Of course, in purely monetary terms a bettor holding proven profitable expected value will make more profit absolutely than their level stakes counterpart. That, after all, is the point of percentage staking.

Nevertheless, this exercise has been a useful reminder that as with anything in gambling. There is always a trade-off to be had between risk and reward Fixed Odds Correct Games.

In return for a more aggressive acceleration of profits which percentage staking offers. One must accept a greater likelihood of doing considerably worse than expectation (and potentially losing money). Simply because of the asymmetric nature of the distribution of Fixed Odds Correct Games possible outcomes.

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Fixed Matches Of the Day
Day: Thursday    Date: 08.02.2024

League: ICELAND League Cup
Match: KA Akureyri – Dalvik/Reynir
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.35    Result: 3:1 Won

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League: ICELAND League Cup
Match: Akranes – Afturelding
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 5:2 Won

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Solo Predictor: Al Hilal’s 4-3 Triumph Against Inter Miami

In a thrilling match that unfolded at Kingdom Arena on January 29, 2024, soccer fixed bets 1×2 enthusiasts witnessed an exhilarating display of skill, strategy, and sheer determination. The clock had struck 11:00 PM, setting the stage for an unforgettable showdown that kept fans on the edge of their seats. Under the watchful eyes of referees, led by the experienced Edina Alves Batista, the pitch became the battleground for two formidable teams. The post-match analysis delves into the intricacies of the game, exploring key moments, tactical decisions, and the overall narrative that defined this intense encounter. From unexpected twists to breathtaking goals, the Kingdom Arena spectacle had it all. This article dissects the match, providing insights into the strategies, standout performances, and decisive factors that shaped the final scoreline. Our Solo Predictor tips can truly enhance your betting strategy without any risk involvement.

Solo Predictor: Late Drama Unfolds

A Riveting 90’+7′ Conclusion

In a heart-pounding finale, the Al-Hilal vs. Inter Miami CF match delivered unparalleled excitement as the late drama unfolded in the riveting 90’+7′ conclusion. The referee’s final whistle marked the culmination of a fiercely contested encounter, leaving fans breathless. Tensions peaked as both teams vied for control in the dying minutes, and the additional time proved decisive. The 90’+6′ moment saw Malcom (Al-Hilal) stepping up for a potentially game-changing free-kick. With anticipation in the air, his left-footed shot from outside the box narrowly missed the mark. The near-miss added an extra layer of suspense to an already intense spectacle, keeping spectators on the edge of their seats.

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Just before the final whistle, Christopher McVey (Inter Miami CF) was shown a yellow card for a bad foul. It emphasized the heightened emotions on the field. The late yellow card reflected the intensity of the match. As a result, players pushed themselves to the limit in pursuit of victory. As the 90’+7′ second half ended, the players left everything on the field, showcasing resilience and determination. The late drama not only solidified the result but also etched this match into the memory of fans. It makes it an unforgettable chapter in the history of Kingdom Arena clashes.

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Solo Predictor: Malcolm’s Missed Opportunity

A Tense 90’+6′ Free-Kick

In a crucial moment during the Al-Hilal vs. Inter Miami CF clash, the tension reached its peak in the 90’+6′ minute as Malcom (Al-Hilal) lined up for a free-kick just outside the box. With the scoreboard showing a tight 4-3 scoreline, this was a potential game-changer. Malcom’s left-footed strike carried the weight of expectations, and the entire stadium held its breath as the ball soared toward the goal. However, in a twist of fate, the ball sailed just a bit too high, missing the target. The collective gasp from the crowd echoed the narrow margin that separated victory from a missed opportunity.

The intensity of the moment lingered in the air, as the near-miss became a defining instance in the match. The outcome might have been different if Malcom’s free-kick had found the mark, underscoring the fine margins and unpredictable nature of football. As the clock ticked down, Malcom’s missed opportunity added an extra layer of drama to an already enthralling contest.

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Solo Predictor: McVey Sees Yellow

90’+5′ Foul Adds to the Drama

In the closing moments of the Al-Hilal vs. Inter Miami CF showdown, the 90’+5′ minute brought an additional layer of drama as Christopher McVey (Inter Miami CF) was shown the yellow card for a bad foul. The referee’s decision to brandish the yellow card added a heightened sense of tension to an already intense match.

The foul highlighted the desperation and determination of both teams to secure a favorable outcome. McVey’s caution not only had immediate implications on the flow of the game but also underscored the physicality and competitiveness that had defined the entire match.

As the yellow card was displayed, it served as a symbolic moment encapsulating the fierce nature of the contest. Emotions ran high and the scoreboard reflected a narrow margin. McVey’s late booking contributed to the dramatic narrative that unfolded in the dying minutes of this clash.

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Solo Predictor: Messi’s Exit, Taylor’s Entrance

87′ Substitution

In a pivotal moment during the Al-Hilal vs. Inter Miami CF battle, the 87th minute saw significant tactical maneuvers as Lionel Messi exited the field. It made way for Robert Taylor in a crucial substitution. The decision by the Inter Miami CF coaching staff to replace the iconic Messi hinted at a strategic shift. As a result, it introduced fresh legs to potentially influence the outcome of the match.

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Messi’s departure from the pitch was met with a mix of anticipation and reflection, considering his impact on the game. Simultaneously, Robert Taylor’s entrance brought a new dynamic to Inter Miami CF’s lineup.

The 87th-minute substitution marked a strategic chess move in the unfolding drama. It left fans and pundits alike speculating on the intended impact of the fresh legs in the final moments of the match. As the clock ticked down, the repercussions of this substitution became a focal point. It added an extra layer of intrigue to the already intense clash.

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Solo Predictor: Crucial Header by Malcolm

88′ Goal Shifts Momentum

In a pivotal turn of events during the Al-Hilal vs. Inter Miami CF spectacle, the 88th minute witnessed a game-defining moment as Malcom (Al-Hilal) scored a crucial header. It shifted the momentum of the match. The scoreboard was delicately balanced at 3-3. But this goal had the potential to be the deciding factor in the intense contest.

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The play unfolded as Yasir Al Shahrani delivered a precision cross. Malcom rose to the occasion with a perfectly timed header from the center of the box. The ball soared into the high center of the goal. It eluded the goalkeeper’s reach and found the back of the net. Malcom’s 88th-minute goal not only swung the score in Al-Hilal’s favor but also injected a burst of energy and confidence into the team. The roar from the fans echoed the significance of these late-game heroics. It amplified the drama that had unfolded at Kingdom Arena. As the clock ticked down, Malcom’s header became the defining moment that tilted the scales. As a result, it solidified Al-Hilal’s lead at 4-3. The ripple effect of this goal would resonate long after the final whistle.

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Solo Predictor: Penalty Drama

Messi Converts at 54′, Al-Hilal 3, Inter Miami 2

The 54th minute of the encounter unfolded with intense penalty drama that shifted the dynamics of the game. Following a VAR decision, Lionel Messi of Inter Miami CF stepped up to take the crucial spot-kick. Displaying remarkable composure, Messi executed a precise left-footed shot. As a result, it found the top right corner of the net bringing the score to 3-2 in favor of Al-Hilal.

The penalty conversion not only showcased Messi’s clinical finishing skills but also injected a renewed sense of hope and momentum into Inter Miami CF. The crowd’s reaction mirrored the significance of the moment, with cheers echoing throughout Kingdom Arena. The 54th-minute penalty added a layer of complexity to the match. It left fans eagerly anticipating how this pivotal moment would shape the remainder of the fiercely contested encounter.

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Solo Predictor: VAR Controversy

Impactful Decisions Shape the Game

The encounter was punctuated by VAR controversy in the 50th minute. A decisive decision awarded a penalty to Inter Miami CF following Mohammed Jahfali’s foul in the box. This contentious moment not only shifted the momentum but also fueled debates on the role of technology in shaping game outcomes. The VAR intervention became a focal point. As a result, it sparked discussions among fans and experts alike regarding the precision and impact of such decisions. The match’s narrative was forever altered. It underlined the significant influence and debate surrounding the use of VAR in the highly competitive landscape of modern football.

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Individual Brilliance

Malcom, Messi, Suárez Shine in Intense Clash

The Al-Hilal vs. Inter Miami CF clash showcased individual brilliance. Standout performances from Malcom, Messi, and Suárez added a layer of star power to the intense encounter. Malcom’s impact was undeniable, especially with his crucial header in the 88th minute, shifting the momentum and securing a pivotal goal for Al-Hilal. Lionel Messi’s role in the penalty drama in the 54th minute demonstrated his composure under pressure. As a result, he converted a crucial spot-kick and narrowed the scoreline.

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Meanwhile, Luis Suárez’s dynamic presence on the field and his right-footed shot that found the bottom right corner in the 34th minute reflected his goal-scoring prowess. These individual displays highlighted the class and skill of these football maestros. This made them key protagonists in a match that will be remembered for its thrilling moments and exceptional individual contributions.

In conclusion, the Al-Hilal vs. Inter Miami CF clash proved to be a riveting spectacle, defined by moments of individual brilliance from Malcom, Messi, and Suárez. Malcom’s late header, Messi’s clinical penalty, and Suárez’s impactful goal showcased the extraordinary talent on display. The match unfolded with a perfect blend of drama, controversy, and outstanding performances. It goes down in football history as a historic win. As the final whistle echoed at Kingdom Arena, the intensity of the encounter and the brilliance of these football luminaries will undoubtedly linger in the memories of fans.

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Daily Tips Fixed Matches 1×2

Daily Tips Fixed Matches 1×2

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Day: Thursday    Date: 15.09.2022

League: EUROPE Europa League – Group Stage
Match: AS Roma – HJK
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 3:0 Won

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When recreational sportsbooks offer you risk-free bets fixed matches, how do you best profit from them? Should you simply maximise your expected value? Read on to find Daily Tips Fixed Matches 1×2 out.

Many recreational sportsbooks offer new customer promotions that work like this: they offer you a “risk-free” bet of some large amount, such as $500, but in the fine print they tell you that the way they free you from risk is by issuing you a “free bet fixed matches” equal to the amount you staked if your initial bet loses.

If you get the free bet, then you’re entitle to the winnings if you win, but they don’t give you back the face value of the free bet fixed matches. They keep that part. So much for being truly “risk-free.” Still, your risk is greatly reduce, and they really are giving away free money. The trick is to figure out how to get the most free money out of the 1/2 TIPS DOUBLE FIX MATCHES deal.

Maximising Expected Value: Is it worth the risk?

You may be tempt to think that the best way to maximise your free money is to maximise your expect value (EV). I mean, isn’t the definition of EV “the value of a gamble weight over the probability of each possible outcome”? The strategy that maximises your EV is to bet on a longshot that will lose most of the time since if you win your initial bet, you get no value from the promotion.

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Your EV may be the high when you bet on extreme longshots (to have the great chance of getting the promotional free bet), but it comes at a cost. You’ll have to withstand a much larger risk to get it. For example, if you bet $500 on a longshot at odds of 4.600, then you’ll typically win about 20% of the time, but you get that big free bet if you don’t. If you place the free bet on a similar line, then you still have a chance to net $1,300.

This same strategy will roughly maximise the EV of your free bet fixed matches because even if you win you don’t get your principal back and only get to keep the winnings. But just like with the DAILY TIPS FIXED MATCHES 1×2, you your risk of losing is eliminated and your profits are guaranteed.

So maybe your best play is to bet on a big favourite, since you’re much more likely to win some money that way, even if it’s not as much. If you’re just starting out and your bankroll is pretty small, say $1,000, then this may seem like the right strategy to make sure you’ll only lose half of your hard-earned bankroll a very small percentage of the time. For example, if you bet on the favourite at Daily Tips Fixed Matches 1×2 of 1.500, then you will win $250 on your $500 risk-free bet about 63% of the time.

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If you lose and get the free bet winning fixed matches tips, then you have another 63% chance to win half your money back on another bet at odds of 1.500. You only lose your initial $500 about one time in eight. But, since the real value in these promotions comes from getting the free bet when you lose, you’re passing up a lot of value with Daily Tips Fixed Matches 1×2 that strategy.

Optimal Hedging: The Ideal Strategy

Is there any strategy that can meet in the middle between getting the most Daily Tips Fixed Matches 1×2 and enduring the least risk? Yes, there is, and it’s call optimal hedging. Hedging, of course, means betting on both sides of a market in order to partly or fully lock in a certain return. Usually, that comes at a cost in the form of the margin you have to pay when betting on odds fixed matches that should be longer (if they truly reflected the chance of your side winning).

If Team A goes off at 4.600 to win, and the sportsbook applies a typical five per cent margin, then the odds on Team B would be about 1.204. The fair line would be somewhere in the middle (you can more accurately estimate it if you use my method shown in this article on the Favourite-Longshot Bias), so if you hedge at 1.204 you’re definitely not going to maximise the EV. If you make your hedge at a sharp sportsbook like FixedMatch.Bet, they could offer a price of 1.238 instead because of their lower margin. Even then, you have to give back a little of the EV that you gain by playing it straight.

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Below is a table of how much you can win or lose with each of our three different strategies, along with the percentage of the time you’ll win your initial bet, lose it and then win your free bet, or end up losing both of them. The last column shows the average amount of money you’ll win, which is your MANIPULATED BETTING FIXED MATCHES. Clearly, betting on the 1.500 favourites both times returns the worst EV (a paltry $34 on average), but it will have much less variance than betting on longshots.

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You get the most EV ($271) by betting on the longshots without hedging, but you only give up about $45 in value by hedging – and only $17 if you make your hedge on FixedMatch.Bet. How would you even go about that? You’d put your remaining $500 into FixedMatch.Bet and bet it on Team B, and then if Team B wins, you’d use that whole payout to hedge against another 4.600 underdog when you use your free bet 1×2 fixed games. That way, even though you lose money 63% of the time, you only lose $233 instead of $500 if you can get a line as good as FixedMatch.Bet. Does that really make a big difference? If you only have $1,000 to start out, then the difference is 1/2 TIPS DOUBLE FIX MATCHES actually huge.

Testing risk-free betting strategies

How can we tell which strategy will produce the biggest median bankroll in the long run? Well, if the sportsbooks would let us hit the same promotion over and over again instead of just once, then we could bet with each strategy many times (or run a Monte Carlo simulation of bets) and see which produces the biggest profit.

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So, I ran a simulation just like that but with one difference. Since the initial bet represents half of your bankroll, all you’d have to do is lose that much for each of the first two trials and you’d be broke. And I’m sure none of you would be foolish enough to do that. But, if we change the rules of the promotion to be that you can bet 50% of your current bankroll, regardless of how big or small it is, then you never really go broke and can always make a comeback if a certain strategy really is the best.

I ran the simulation many times, and here’s a graph of one of the runs for the first 100 trials. The Y-axis is show on a logarithmic scale, meaning each line is 10 times higher than the one below it, because otherwise, you’d never see the lines for the 1.500/1.500 and 4.600/4.600 strategies. By betting on the favourites each time, you’d turn your $1,000 bankroll into about $4,000 and never dip into the loss column. Not bad! But this run is lucky for those employing that strategy because in truth, the benefit of each bet is so small that it has -EG.

By betting on the longshots without hedging, your bankroll bounces around like a Daily Tips Fixed Matches 1×2 during a Steph Curry dribbling drill and you end up with less than $10. Or if you’re a PSG fan, you can benefit from our PSG fixed matches. Over-betting your huge edge has caused you to go practically broke.

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You could simply bet less in this situation to reduce your risk of ruin, but that will ruin your EV since you only get that theoretical $271 if you bet $500 upfront. On the other hand, with the exact same outcomes for each game, if you give up a little EV each time by hedging on FixedMatch.Bet, then you lose much less during each downswing and end up making a tidy profit by the end. And by tidy, I mean over $100 million.

With a bankroll of $10,000, fixed odds winning tips betting on the 4.600 lines both times without hedging will get you essentially the maximum amount of EG that you can from this position (i.e., 2.25% of your entire bankroll). This makes a lot of sense if you think about it the right way. That’s because, with a bankroll that large, you’re only betting 5% of it in a position with a huge mathematical edge. In that case, the risk to your riches is small enough to take full advantage of the greater +EV you can get without hedging.

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Still, if you can get a price of 1.238 on FixedMatch.Bet for your hedge, then you can get the same EG as you get without hedging by using the following strategy. Stake $1,575 on the favourite at FixedMatch.Bet, and if that bet wins (meaning you’re awarde a $500 free bet from the other site), then stake $1,450 as a hedge at odds of 1.238 against your free bets win tips 1×2.

With FixedMatch.Bet high limits and policy of welcoming all bettors, you should have no trouble getting those bets down in most 1/2 TIPS DOUBLE FIX MATCHES. With this play, it works out that you’ll profit about $225 (or 2.25% of your bankroll) however the games turn out, allowing you to realise all that EV with no sweat. When your bankroll is this size, then the best play is truly up to your personal preference.

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Day: Wednesday    Date: 07.02.2024

League: PORTUGAL Taça de Portugal
Match: Leiria – Sporting CP
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50    Result: 0:3 Won

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Sure Bet For Today: Bundesliga Season 2023-24 Forecast

In its first game back the previous week, the Bundesliga wasted no time getting back into gear. In the 1st match since returning to Dortmund, Jadon Sancho gave Marco Reus a stunning assist that sealed the victory. With 8 saves from Kevin Trapp and a tenacious defense, Eintracht Frankfurt defeated Leipzig 1-0 despite facing thirty-one shots. With a resounding victory over TSG Hoffenheim and their greatest league tempo after the Pep Guardiola era. Harry Kane scored his twenty-sixth goal overall, assisted by goals from Jamal Musiala and Leroy Sané. Place the most Sure Bet For Today and maximize your rewards using our expert tips and predictions.

Bayern Leverkusen Maintaining Lead And The Dramatics

The thrilling moment, though, occurred at Augsburg, when a stunning goal from Alejandro Grimaldo to Exequiel Palacios in the 4th minute of the final period helped Bayer Leverkusen keep their advantage against Bayern. The only undefeated squad in Europe’s Big 5 leagues is Xabi Alonso’s side. They are only 1 point below Bayern’s Bundesliga record of ninety-one points at their present ninety-point tempo.

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Now that the season has officially reached its midway point, everybody but 2 squads (Bayern and Union Berlin), whose game in December was rescheduled owing to excessive snowfall can reflect on the season and look ahead to the 2nd half.

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Sure Bet For Today: The Current Table Standing

Only 4 points divide the lowest 4 clubs, and Leverkusen and Stuttgart are the underdogs in the contests for both the campaign trophy and Champions League spots. In the upcoming months, there should be a lot on the line in the biggest league in Europe that scores the highest points regularly. At this halfway point, let’s go over the main questions.

The Possible Title Victor

As per bookies, the following are the possible title winners:

  • Bayern 67.4% odds
  • Bayer Leverkusen 32.2% odds
  • RB Leipzig 0.3% odds

The obstacles in this race are only getting started, despite the magic that Leverkusen has already produced with twenty-three victories, 3 ties, 0 defeats, and eighty-two goals netted in twenty-six games. For the duration of the Africa Cup of Nations, they were without defenders Tapsoba (Faso) and Kossounou (Coast), as well as replacement forward Adli (Morocco), after having a rather steady team for the 1st part of the season.

The additional groin injury suffered by Victor Boniface, who was anticipated to be the ace of Nigeria at AFCON, would probably keep him out till April. With sixteen goals and 8 assists in twenty-three games across all tournaments, Boniface was an inspiration in the autumn. It would be difficult to replace the productive twenty-three-year-old for 2 to 3 months after only 3 to 4 weeks of his absence.

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Sure Bet For Today: The Fair Result

Even though Augsburg’s performance was reasonable. Leverkusen tried twenty-four shots totaling 2.0 anticipated goals. This is higher as compared to Augsburg’s 3 attempts worth 0.4. There was still cause for concern. What you weren’t keen to witness in the 1st game following Boniface’s injury was their lackluster ending. Patrik Schick, who was a key player in their top-4 finish in 2021-22 but has since struggled with faith and injuries, tried 4 attempts on Saturday.

But 2 were protected, one was foiled, and a glorious header chance went wide. It was unsettling, however, Schick’s situation is far from dire just yet, he scored in 4 of his previous 8 games, including a hat-trick in his most recent game in December. Augsburg, however, mounted some very dangerous counterattacks facing Leverkusen’s weakened defense. While creating 2 decent scoring opportunities and having a goal rejected for offside.

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Distorted Outside The League Play

Bayern is always lurking. Even though they were fragile at times in the opening part of the season. Their worse performances came from non-league games. In August, Leipzig crushed them 3-0 at home. However, it was in the DFL Supercup. They lost badly against Saarbrucken, a 3rd-division team, in the DFB-Pokal. They battled back from behind to defeat Galatasaray at home in the Champions League, then labored within a goalless tie with Copenhagen.

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Even though their one and only league defeat was a terrible one, coming from Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 in the beginning days of December. However, it was still the only defeat that they got. They still possess Kane up top, they have produced the most expected goals and given up the lowest. They’ve netted the majority of goals and given up the lowest. And most importantly, since he returned from injury, goalie Manuel Neuer has been outstanding. They’re probably the greatest squad in the league in every area save point aggregate (which, in reality, is the most significant one), even with strength problems in their defense.

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Sure Bet For Today: Leverkusen Staying On Top Of Their Game

On the other hand, Leverkusen has not diminished. Their ranking in bookmakers’ rankings has increased from thirty-sixth to tenth place in Europe after the first of August. They are very close to their highest rating ever, which they attained throughout their 2002 Champions League play. That was the year they cemented their reputation as Leverkusen. They are known as a high-ceilinged squad that rarely does live up to the expectations placed upon it. The odds shown above serve as an indication that they most likely won’t be able to shed that designation this season. However, those numbers might change significantly if they can make it through a trip to Leipzig on Saturday and a visit from Bayern on the tenth of February.

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The Squads Playing In The Champions League The Upcoming Year

Current Champions League odds as per bookies are:

  • Bayern Munich 100.0%
  • Bayer Leverkusen 99.9%
  • RB Leipzig 92.9%
  • Borussia Dortmund 75.1%
  • VfB Stuttgart 64.7%
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 7.8%
  • Hoffenheim 1.5%
  • VfL Wolfsburg 0.2%
  • Borussia Monchengladbach 0.1%

Leipzig should be secure in this race given they end the problems they encountered facing Eintracht the previous weekend, and don’t signal the beginning of a pattern. Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern are also safe. Throughout the next seventeen games, RBL should accumulate enough points to guarantee their place in the Champions League. However, they are a youthful team with a high potential and an uncertain floor at times.

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Sure Bet For Today: A Race Between Stuttgart And Dortmund

That essentially leaves 2 clubs with 1 or 2 more places. Although it’s still possible for Eintracht to win the title, it’s currently most likely a race among Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart. Their current loan inclusions of forward Sasa Kalajdzic from Wolverhampton Wanderers and midfielder Donny van de Beek from Manchester United indicate they have yet to give up on the concept. Stuttgart’s rapid ascent to prominence is no accident. The Swabians’ struggle to avoid relegation the previous year was close to impossible.

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They defeated Hamburg in the relegation playoff after finishing 2 points above Schalke to prevent the direct relegation slots. However, they surrendered key players Wataru Endo and Konstantinos Mavropanos to somewhat expensive deals. Nevertheless, they managed to use that money virtually correctly. Along with goalie Alexander Nübel (on loan from Bayern), midfielder Angelo Stiller (gotten from Hoffenheim) has been a great Endo substitute. Freshmen Serhou Guirassy and Deniz Undav have teamed up for twenty-six goals and 3 assists.

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Creating The Second Best Expected Goals Differential

With two draws against Bayer Leverkusen in December and two victories over Borussia Dortmund in a month, Stuttgart has the 2nd-best expected goals differential in the league. It has shown to be a formidable opponent in crucial situations. They have gotten their 3rd-spot ranking in the standings despite sporadic collapses in the fall. This includes back-to-back defeats to Hoffenheim and Heidenheim and a 3-0 drubbing at the hands of Bayern.

Despite Undav’s strong play, Stuttgart has failed all 3 of its league games without Guirassy, with a total score of 8-3. Also absent from AFCON for the upcoming weeks is Guirassy. They were defeated 3-1 by Borussia Monchengladbach in their 1st 2024 game without him. This is despite having fifteen mainly poor shots and being split open by counterattacks.

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Sure Bet For Today: A Moment Of Vulnerability

Following a trip to VfL Bochum, Stuttgart’s upcoming 3 games are cup games facing Bayer Leverkusen and league games facing RB Leipzig and SC Freiburg. If Borussia Dortmund manages to pull together, this appears to be a vulnerable time that might become even more apparent.

The 2023-24 season saw BVB go from prevailing in an incredible Champions League group that included AC Milan, PSG, and Newcastle United to triumphing in just 1 of 7 league games during a difficult November–December period. They were defeated 12-4 overall in 5 games (which includes the cup game facing Stuttgart) facing the present top 4 in the Bundesliga. They failed 4 and tied 1.

Sure Bet For Today: Borussia Dortmund Might Have A Chance

Although Sancho hasn’t played much recently due to injuries, he displayed no signs of wear in Saturday’s victory over Man Utd. Sancho was really summoned back by BVB to energize up a shockingly subdued assault. He was traded to Man Utd for eighty-five million euros in 2021. The fact that 4 of BVB’s upcoming 5 league rivals are ranked 9th or lower allows them to act upon his arrival. Along with that of one more loanee (Chelsea left-back Ian Maatsen), it can ignite a fire.