FIXED MATCHES FOOTBALL 100% SURE

Hot Prediction Site

Robert Weldon

October 10, 2025

Free Tips Predictions

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Hot Prediction Site

Deutch Fixed Matches
Day: Friday Date: 10.10.2025

League: WORLD Friendly International
Match: Belgium – North Macedonia
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 0:0 Lost

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Campo daily free tips

Hot Prediction Site: Clubs And Athletes To Focus In FPL Match Week 9

Here we will look at individuals and clubs who aim long-term, a few additional short-term choices, and ones to steer clear of starting with game week nine. Let’s begin by looking at a few clubs to steer clear of at the start! Our experts are the go-to Hot Prediction Site for the best betting tips fixed matches.

Clubs To Steer Clear From

Luton

It is definitely time to once more steer clear of Luton athletes following their spotlight-stealing dual in game week seven. Given their advantageous matchup versus Forest in game week nine, managers could want to maintain Morris. However, after that, they face Villa, Liverpool, and Man Utd in rapid succession. Although the statistics indicate that the Hatters have been somewhat difficult to come by thus far this season. With a Forecasted Scores of 8.39 in comparison to their present aggregate of four. They continue to be unquestionably among the worst squads in the league and should be bypassed. Their schedule doesn’t get any simpler until after game week sixteen.

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Hot Prediction Site: Brentford

Brentford has failed to pick up even one EPL victory after defeating Fulham on the nineteenth of August. They should have won more games over that time span, according to the statistics, but they are still in bad form (much like Luton). The best time to dispose of Brentford assets is definitely right now because of their poor matchups starting in game week ten and their blank performance in game week eighteen.

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Chelsea

The Blues’ subsequent six games against Arsenal, Spurs, City, Newcastle, and Brighton may be the most awful schedule of any club from game week nine on. Despite recent successes, Pochettino’s team still struggles to maintain poise in front of goal. Although their offensive has been subpar, their defense is among the league’s finest this season. They are fourth in goals versus and anticipated goals versus. Right now, it would possibly be advisable to avoid taking a chance and stay away from Chelsea assets.

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Hot Prediction Site: Manchester City

City will play Brighton, United, Chelsea, Liverpool, Spurs, and Villa during gameweek nine and gameweek fifteen after their challenging match facing Arsenal. Even City, who just had a handful of disappointing performances, succumbing to Wolves in the EPL and Newcastle in the cup, will find this stretch challenging. Pep’s squad will undoubtedly score some points during this run. However, it is hard to say where, and other clubs now provide greater value and more assured points.

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Clubs To Focus On Liverpool

Liverpool is entering a highly beneficial fixture stretch from gameweek nine-gameweek sixteen and have been in good form this season. With seventeen points and a present standing of fourth in the league, they were undefeated up to gameweek 8. Regardless of playing some of the top clubs in the league, they now hold the fourth and fifth spots for xG and xGA (pre-gameweek 8) rankings. Since Liverpool’s defense is now giving up a goal per match (before Brighton) and has relied on Alisson several times to save them. We advise avoiding them for the time being.

But moving into gameweek nine, their attackers are a need. Salah is clearly the favorite. According to Fantasy Football Hub’s projected points calculator, he will score the second-most points over the upcoming four games. His season-to-date figures, which show an average of 0.72xG per match and 0.60xA per match, support this. Hence, Nunez and Diaz represent the only actual options. In the EPL, Nunez has the stronger underlying statistics with 1.11xG per match and 0.36xA per match.

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This contrasts with Diaz’s 0.55xGI per match, and because of Gakpo’s current injury, the Uruguayan is no more a minute danger in the near future. Jota is eligible to compete in gameweek 9 after serving his ban, but given that Klopp has chosen to play him openly thus far this season. He poses a greater threat to Diaz than Nunez. As a result, Nunez is probably the best choice, while managers seeking a solution a little differently would find Diaz or Jota to be fascinating variations.

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Hot Prediction Site: Brighton

Since De Zerbi moves often and the Seagulls have proved rather erratic thus far in all tournaments, Brighton is a challenging club to analyze in FPL perspective. They are definitely a mixed bag as they rank third for xG, highest for goals scored, but fourth worst for goals allowed. Due to their subpar defensive scores and (as previously indicated) their manager’s propensity to move athletes, defenders are currently off limits. Rather, we ought to try to stop their assailants.

The person who should be given importance is Mitoma, who has the most locked down game of any Brighton athlete and has competed the second-highest number of minutes this year. Additionally, the Japanese international now leads Brighton’s roster in xG and xA for the current campaign. Having said that, he is a little hot right now and has a history of underachieving. So, we wouldn’t be shocked if his goal and assist production dropped at some time. Even if he is in excellent condition, this cannot last for life.

The 2 forward choices are Ferguson and Pedro, although both have minor dangers. Pedro has begun two more League matches this year than Ferguson has four. Although Pedro has a somewhat greater xGI per game. Fati has demonstrated in a little number of minutes that he might be one to monitor if managers are searching for an alternative option, scoring 1 goal in just 104 minutes (all as a replacement). Although Ferguson has the top forecasted points (FFH), twenty over the upcoming five, in comparison to Pedro’s 12.9 and Fati’s 8.8. We don’t think there is much difference amongst Brighton’s forward choices.

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West Ham

West Ham will be attempting to recover after the break after tumbling to Newcastle later in gameweek 8. They have an extremely favorable schedule from gameweek 9 through gameweek seventeen, which makes them a club we should absolutely consider. They compete Villa in the league in gameweek 9. With five goals and one assist this year, Bowen is the clear option.

Areola has additionally been in great shape this season, having prevented four goals for his club thus far, or 0.57 goals per ninety. This implies that Hammers have been giving up a lot of shots, and his great performances are difficult to keep going for the entire season. Hence, regardless of his offensive prowess, we may choose to bypass Coufal in favor of concentrating on the midfield or front line.

They are producing a lot of high-caliber opportunities from set pieces (corners and free kicks), according to the statistics, and because James Ward-Prowse is the primary set piece receiver, he ought to be focused. Presently, the Englishman has an xGI per match of above 0.5, two goals, and three assists. Because of his position as a set-piece danger and outstanding midfielder. Soucek has the third top xG per match in the club and might be an excellent low-ownership selection.

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Hot Prediction Site: Manchester United

Man Utd will enter the break in a positive mood after defeating Brentford later in gameweek eight. The break will offer Ten Hag’s team a chance to regroup despite their erratic play thus far this year and their current string of losing performances. Man Utd are consistently in the middle of the pack in practically every aspect (xG, xGA, scores, goals, etc.). However, Rasmus Hojlund’s addition has undoubtedly improved their appeal to FPL managers.

The Danish forward, who has scored three goals in two matches in the UCL, is unfortunate not to have made a comeback to the League yet. The athletes around United’s new No. 9 have improved as a result, and the club has appeared more inclined to score since he joined. Rashford’s performance level has decreased this year (0.4xG per match over 0.58xG per match previous year).

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With contributions of 0.35xG per match and 0.41xA per match, his United colleague Bruno Fernandes has continued to produce at top level. In the following five games, with favorable matchups, FPL Hub’s Forecast points engine projects that Bruno will score the fourth-highest number of points of any athlete, following only Haaland, Salah, and Son.

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Arsenal

The break allows essential athletes to relax and heal after a demanding time, and Arsenal will be feeling great following their victory over the defending victors City. With all three advanced clubs appearing in Arsenal’s upcoming six games and the league’s joint-best defensive record, Arteta’s squad is an apparent prospective target. After skipping gameweek 8 due to injury, Saka will be attempting to reclaim his beginning position in gameweek 9.

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The winger has been outstanding throughout the season and has the greatest xG per match and xA per match of any Arsenal athlete who has competed more than two hundred minutes so far. The ‘upcoming best’ alternatives for those trying to build up on attackers are Odegaard and Martinelli. Who are projected to have the second and third highest scores over the upcoming five games of any Arsenal athlete (below Saka).

Although Nketiah and possibly Trossard may be cycled in, Jesus is a possibility. Make your selection between White and Saliba, who are the 2 most reliable defenders. No Arsenal defender poses much of an offensive threat. Ramsdale might also be taken into consideration as Raya appears to be keeping his number one position.

Football Fixed Matches Over/Under

Robert Weldon

October 8, 2025

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Football Fixed Matches Over/Under

Ticket Combo Tips fixed Bets
Day: Thursday Date: 09.10.2025

League: WORLD Friendly International
Match: England – Wales
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 3:0 Won

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Accurate winning tips 1×2 betting

Opportunity cost is a useful concept for deciding the best way to maximize football fixed matches Over/Under return on investment from funds. Even profitable bettors should be aware of the potential costs of misallocating resources. Read on to find out more about applying opportunity cost to sports betting.

What is opportunity cost?

Imagine a high school student assessing the merits of attending University. What are the costs of studying the prospective student needs to consider? The initial cost of tuition is the obvious expense but it is not the only one the student must factor in.

In addition to the costs the prospective student incurs during their study. They must also consider the wages and experience they would have gained by working during this time instead. This is the opportunity cost to the student of higher education. Which needs to be weigh against the potential benefits of a university degree.

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This is an important concept in investing. An individual who saves their money in a 1% interest savings account is technically a “profitable” investor given that. And they will have more money at the end of the year than they had at the start.

However, if inflation is at 3% then, in real terms, the investor has lost purchasing power. As the growth in the price of goods has been greater than the savers return on investment (ROI). They would have been better off purchasing their desire goods at the start of the year rather than saving.

Applying opportunity cost to sports betting

How does this concept affect sports bettors? To look at this we will follow four imaginary bettors, all of whom are profitable. In order to simplify this process several (unrealistic) assumptions have been make:

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The bettors have limited initial capital (€100).

They are restrict to one action (no diversification of risk).

They must stake the full amount on each bet (in a real scenario a staking method would be advisable).

Average ROI per bet: Bettor A : 01%, Bettor B: 1%, Bettor C: 2%, Bettor D: 4%

The return on investment indicates each bettor’s level of skill. Bettor A is marginally profitable whilst Bettor D achieves a high return on investment.

Opportunity cost in betting: Outrights vs singles

A common debate amongst bettors is whether tying up funds in long-term outright bets a good strategy or a misallocation of resources. This is essentially a debate about opportunity cost.

Assuming these skilled bettors have an edge on both outright and football fixed matches Over/Under. What expect return on investment would be require to make a bet on a year-long bet on an outright market the optimal choice?

At a 100% expect return on investment. Football fixed matches Over/Under is better off by ‎€89. But even with such a big ROI, the other three bettors will lose out staking on the outright compare to allocating their initial funds to fixed games 1×2 today betting on the 100 singles.

For bettor D to eliminate the opportunity cost of betting on singles with that ‎€100 over the course of the year (whilst the funds otherwise would be tie up in the outright stake). And make a significant profit they would need to stake on an outright bet with an expect return of investment of 5150%.

The higher skill bettors must find an outright offering incredible value to overcome the compounding effect of staking that money on single bets sure odds winning matches.

Secure sources fixed betting matches

Whilst this may offer an argument against staking on outrights. In this simulation our bettors have limit resources and do not need to account for variance. Real bettors could see outright betting as a good way to diversify risk. Certainly, not many bettors would turn down a bet with a 100% expect return on investment.

Football fixed matches Over/Under vs the stock market

Hedge fund managers are assesse by how their returns compare to the general stock market. In simple terms, a hedge fund manager’s skill level is determin by how much their “expertly” select portfolio can beat that of someone who simply purchases every major stock via an index fund.

Warren Buffett calculates stocks grow an average of 6 to 7% annually, so we will use the higher bound 7% growth rate as our average. How do our bettors fare when judge in the same way as hedge fund managers?

At average market growth all of the bettors return better than market profits, so there is no opportunity cost present. However, in a fast-rising market Bettor A makes a slight loss (opportunity cost of €3) whilst the other bettor’s real profits are significantly reduce.

In a falling market it would be possible for even a football fixed matches Over/Under to beat stock market returns, whilst the profitable bettors see a strong performance vs traditional stock investment.

Long-run, all the bettors will be better off wagering on sports instead of investing but. In a one-off scenario, bettor A could incur an opportunity cost during a fast-rising market.

The opportunity cost of betting at inferior odds

As has been demonstrate above, even profitable bets can have opportunity costs. This is especially true if a bettor is not taking the best odds available.

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If the initial ROI of each bettor was with them betting at FixedMatch.Bet margins (2% in this case) then taking the industry average (6%) will obviously lead to lower profits.

This is the opportunity cost of taking football fixed matches Over/Under, a cost that becomes an increasingly important factor as the bettor becomes more profit. Bettor D would incur an opportunity cost of €191 by choosing to bet at the industry average rather than with FixedMatch.Bet.

Taking inferior odds can also be loss-making. A hypothetical bettor with an expect return on investment of 2% (€102 return) over the course of the 100 bets. And at the two percent margin would return only €98 at the six percent level.

In the real world, a bettor profitable to the extent of bettors C and D is likely to place more wagers at higher stakes than simulated here. The effect of taking inferior odds on returns would be even more pronounce in this case.

What should bettors learn from football fixed matches Over/Under?

Of course, skill master bettors are well aware of the importance of taking optimal. And the odds as well as not tying up funds in long-term positions that could be better use elsewhere. However, they are important concepts worth remembering.

Perhaps of most use to bettors is the comparison with the stock market. If Warren Buffett is correct (and history suggests he is), then bettors need to beat stock market returns of 6-7% to ensure they are not incurring an opportunity cost compare to merely investing in an index fund.

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In reality, profitable bettors are likely to find enough value bets to ensure they outperform the stock market. Another big advantage of sports betting is that there is no such thing as a falling market. So there will not be an overnight plunge in bettor’s funds (as long as a football fixed matches Over/Under is follow), nor should irrational actors affect the bettor’s ability to increase his bankroll.

To give a breakdown of the calculations used for the above examples. We can use the simple idea of betting halftime/fulltime fixed games on coin flips. So specifically in this instance the case where a bettor earns an 11% return on investment on €100 worth of bets.

If FixedMatch.Bet were to offer prices on coin flips with their 2% margin applied. And this would result in a price of 1.961 for both heads and tails. On the other hand, with an industry standard margin of 6% this implies a price of 1.887.

In order to achieve an 11% ROI after 100 bets on coin flips (at FixedMatch.Bet odds). This requires the customer to correctly predict;

€111/1.961 ≈ 57 (1)

out of 100 coin flips.

Although, winning these same 57 coin flip bets at an industry standard margin betting company, this results in;

€1 x 57 x 1.887 ≈ €107 (2)

Hence meaning €4 less for the customer despite achieving the same amount of winning bets fixed matches 1×2.

What lessons can be learned from the Football Fixed matches Over/Under

When markets don’t have equal flows of information represented by money staked. They can get out of sync and inefficiencies appear.

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Mayweather vs. Mcgregor style inefficiencies, where over-optimistic backers distort the market, are incredibly rare since sharp money usually dictates the lines. As bettors we are usually looking for odds where the oddsmaker has been pessimistic about the chance of an event occurring.

It is perhaps more practical to look for situations where bookmakers have miscalculated odds initially, and there is not the two-way money flow needed to correct the market.

Perhaps anchoring bias could ensure that bettors have not look too deeply into the reasons behind this and the price has not yet been correct. As Marco says, traders are not necessarily more informed than bettors . So finding isolated cases where markets have not been able to correct themselves could offer value.

The necessity of shorting for market efficiency

So why were Cornwall one of the only parties to bet against a clear bubble with such high expected returns available? After all, Pinnacle’s odds show us how efficient betting markets football matches are (and shorting is just a variant of betting). Surely the market should have corrected itself?

The issue here was the inaccessibility of the shorting option. Unlike a football fixed matches Over/Under where staking is easily accessible to all parties, betting ht-ft fixed odds matches against the housing market was convoluted.

Football Betting Opportunities

Robert Weldon

October 8, 2025

Free Tips Predictions

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Football Betting Opportunities

Goliath betting strategy
Day: Wednesday Date: 08.10.2025

Today’s offer for daily tips is quite weak, so we’ll be taking a break today. If there are interesting and good matches for tomorrow, we’ll post them then.

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Telegram support: +46 73 149 05 68
Username for Telegram: @robertweldon

By far the biggest sport in the world is soccer or, depending where you live, football. Soccer is watched on a daily basis by billions of people all over the world. It is also the most popular sport to bet on at top betting providers online. Let’s learn more about football betting Opportunities.

Pro Fixed Matches Soccer

If you are looking to get into sports betting online, soccer is probably the best place to start. Soccer has more markets than virtually any sport, and there are often more soccer events happening all the time, all over the world. Soccer is famous in virtually every country, so you’ll find plenty of markets in Asian football, European soccer leagues, African soccer, North and South America, Australia and many other places.

Of course, you could just dive in and take your chances, but what if you get it wrong? It is just as easy (if not easier) to lose at soccer betting than it is making a profit. Would finding the best soccer betting strategy help improve your odds? How about some real-world experience pro betting tips? Our easy to understand guide is to help you find a soccer betting strategy that works, and give you the information and pro tips you need to get fast and profitable results, right now!

Soccer Quick – Facts

Soccer is the most popular sport in the world today.
It is also famous as football in certain parts of the world and on certain sports betting sites.
Soccer features a massive range of markets and betting options.
Our soccer betting strategies can drastically increase your chances of making a profit in soccer betting.
Multiple sportsbook accounts increase your chances of successful betting.
There is always a soccer bet worth looking at from markets all over the world.

Soccer Betting Breakdown

One of the biggest misconceptions surrounding soccer is that, if you are a fan of the game (or of certain teams), you are also an expert on all things football. While that might impress those that don’t really follow the game, when it comes to soccer betting, you need to be more than just a fan.

Mathieu Debuchy from AS Saint-Etienne in French Ligue 1

Most football fans think that they are experts on the game, and while they might feel they know better than the ref, this does not automatically make them an expert at actually betting on the game. True soccer betting experts are not even necessarily fans of the game. They know how to bet, what to bet and when to bet. This is often the difference between a fan of the ‘beautiful game’ and a soccer betting pro that makes a reliable profit on virtually any soccer fixed match going.

We’ve put together a solid guide to soccer betting that gives you pro tips on how to bet on soccer successfully, what soccer bets yield the best results and where you can begin betting on soccer fixed matches, events, teams and more from all over the world.

Soccer Betting Tips You Can Use Right Now That Work

There are hundreds of great soccer betting tips that you will come across as you progress in your soccer betting. Consulting a reliable soccer betting forum is always recommended. However, the following soccer betting tips are a great place to get started:

Soccer Betting Tip #1: The More the Merrier

When it comes to finding the best soccer betting odds and the best markets, signing up with just one sports betting provider isn’t going to cut it. If you want the best results, right out of the gate, picking at least four or five sports betting websites is the way to go. Since the sign-up process has become extremely streamlined and is fairly universal in approach, you’ll have sorted out your four or five sports betting provider registrations in twenty minutes or less.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang from Arsenal in Premier League

You can now go ahead and take advantage of various bonus offers such as free bets. You may need to make a deposit upfront with some (or all) of these sports betting providers, so have available (disposable) cash ready to transfer. Another advantage to signing up with multiple betting providers is that, if you take advantage of their promotions, you can build up a solid betting bankroll in a short space of time.

Once you have squared away all the bits and pieces, you can start to shop for good value bets in various soccer betting markets. Compare different books odds on the same markets or pick and choose various bets to make up your own soccer betting strategy.

Fixed Matches Betting Tip #2: League Loyalty Could Pay Off

One of the best football betting Opportunities league loyalty. Since soccer is the biggest sport in the world fixed matches, the number of available leagues is truly massive. If you are new to soccer fixed betting, it might pay off to pick one league and stick with it. This way, you can really start to analyze both team performance as well as individual player performance across your chosen league. By doing this, you will drastically improve your insight and be able to make stronger, more confident bets that will inevitably be more profitable.

Soccer Betting Tip #3: Watch as Many Games as You Can

If you’re a soccer fan, this tip might be redundant. However, from a betting point of view, it’s invaluable. Watching as many games as you can (within your league) will give you greater insight into which team is doing well, which team has fallen and so forth. This knowledge comes in handy when it comes to deciding which type of bet will work best for each event you plan on betting on.

Best Football Betting Opportunities

HOW DO I FIND THE BEST SOCCER BETTING PROVIDER ONLINE?

While almost all online betting providers will offer soccer betting, some will feature much larger markets and betting options. To find the best soccer betting providers online, simply read our in-depth reviews and follow our soccer betting provider recommendations.

DO SOCCER BETTING STRATEGIES AND BETTING TIPS ACTUALLY MAKE MONEY?

It is important to understand that soccer betting is ultimately based on chance. It all depends on how the team does on the day, there is no guarantee in sports betting. However, arming yourself with solid knowledge on the teams involved and knowing which bet is appropriate for which betting situation can certainly improve your chances dramatically.

CAN I PICKUP ANY BONUSES FOR MY SOCCER BETTING?

Yes, you can. Many of the best soccer betting providers fixed matches offer great bonuses and incentives for soccer bettors. This includes promotions such as soccer ACCA (accumulator fixed bets matches) insurance, free bets for soccer and more.

Soccer betting fixed matches is probably one of the most rewarding and most developed sports betting options available. Anybody can get started with soccer betting right now, as long as you go in armed with the tips and advice provided in this soccer betting guide. By starting out small with one of our recommended sports betting sites, taking advantage of bonus offers and our tips, you can become a successful soccer betting pro in no time. That’s all from us about Fixed Matches football betting Opportunities. Hope you enjoyed giving it a read.

Football Betting Guide

Robert Weldon

October 7, 2025

Free Tips Predictions

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Football Betting Guide

Terms in football betting
Day: Tuesday Date: 07.10.2025

League: ENGLAND National League
Match: Scunthorpe – Morecambe
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 3:1 Won

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Telegram support: +46 73 149 05 68
Username for Telegram: @robertweldon

Today Fixed Matches Football has been the most mainstream type of sports wagering lately in the UK. The business has developed to permit players to put a bet on bets, with numerous bookmakers offering uncommon arrangements and serious chances. Want to have football betting guide? Give a read to this article subsequently might find useful tips on football fixed betting.

The enormous volume of matches implies a great many players wager on countless various results to attempt to beat the bookies.

Here, we run you through what you need to think about football wagering

A concise prologue to how wagering functions

Chances help the better decide how likely an occasion will occur and what their potential rewards will be. Bookmakers give the chances and you choose whether you need to wager on that market. They have typically appeared as divisions (for example 2/1), however, can some of the time appear as decimals (2.00) and you can choose which you want to utilize. On the off chance that the result of an occasion is 2/1 and it wins you will win £2 for each £1 wager.

How football wagering functions

Many football fixed betting matches and markets are accessible to bet on consistently. Bookmakers will give chances on the likelihood of the result of a match, including the outcome, the number of corners and cards, singular goal scorers, and many others.

There various suppliers who will have uncommon offers and serious chances to attempt to give you the best worth wager.

When the result of the occasion is affirmed and your wager is a victor, you will be paid out your unique stake in addition to the rewards from the chances.

Underneath we will run you through the most well-known kinds of wagers on football.

Match Bet Big Odds Tips

The Match Bet is the least difficult type of football wagering where you will pick the aftereffect of the football coordinate. You can wager on the Home Team, Opponent Team, or Draw. Keep in mind, the wager is put for the hour and a half match. In case that the game finishes in a draw following an hour and a half, at that point Draw is the triumphant wagered. Match Bets don’t include extra – time or punishments.

Asian Handicap wager

An Asian Handicap wager is a place where your wager has a “handicap” to survive.

Each group is given either a + or a – on their score line. There are just two outcomes and if the game closures in a move the bettor gets back their stake.

This is mainstream as the possibility of a draw is likely, thus bettors get the opportunity of winning their stake back. Here is a model:

If you bet on Arsenal at +1, you win on the off chance that they win by two objectives. You lose if they draw or lose. On the off chance that Arsenal win by one objective, at that point you get your stake back.

If you wager on Standard Liege at +2, you will lose your wager if Liege loses by at least three objectives. If they lose by two objectives, you’ll get your cashback and if they lose by one objective, you will likewise win.

European Handicap wager

European Handicap is unique in relation to an Asian Handicap. For instance, you may wager on one group to win yet give the other group one objective favorable position to expand the chances.

You should remove or add an objective to whichever Handicap Fixed Bet Matches you set. Here is a model:

1.Arsenal (- 1)

2.Handicap Draw (- 1)

3.Standard Liege (+1)

You should remove one objective from whatever Arsenal score. If you wager on Arsenal and the outcome is 2-0, at that point, your wager is a victor.

If you wager on Arsenal and it is 1-0, at that point your wager is a failure as once the – 1 impediment is considered the outcome is 0-0.

You should remove one objective from whatever the draw result is. If you wager on Draw and the outcome is 1-1 or higher then you will win your wager. On the off chance that you wager on Draw and the outcome is 0-0, at that point, your wager is a failure because of the impairment.

You need to add one objective to whatever Standard Liege score. If the game finishes 2-2, at that point, you win as Liege had a one objective preferred position. On the off chance that the outcome is 1-0 to Arsenal, your wager is a failure as the outcome would just be 1-1 with the +1 debilitation.

Instructions to discover esteem while wagering on football/In-Play wagering

The main thing to recall is that there is no certain wagered in football. You can do as much research and have as much information on a game yet there is still space for negative results.

This is the reason you should utilize your insight to wager on football fixed matches Europe to figure out which game and which wager you might want to make.

Draw Fixed Matches Ticket

It is additionally why In-Play markets are probably the most ideal approaches to see an incentive in a wager. A model is that a group has been assaulting for as long as five minutes of a game and look near scoring, so you can wager on Next Team To Score. There are comparable business sectors for next goal scorer, card, corner, and toss ins.

The easiest wagers, for example, Match Bet Fixed and goal scorer markets will suit less experienced bettors as will utilizing the wagers with less danger, for example, Draw No Bet.

With our Real Fixed Matches you can bet now on online bookies like before but now new is because with this matches you can use Bet Builder what is very popular at the moment, because this is the best option to make money easy and very fast.

You should just ever wagered on the business sectors you know and on the classes and groups you know or you hazard squandering cash as you don’t have the foggiest idea whether the wager has esteem.

For instance, a football fan who watches the Premier League each week would be more fit to wagering on the class he knows instead of taking a bet to a unknown class anywhere on the planet that they don’t have the foggiest idea.

With right football betting guide you can rally start earning through fixed matches so keep following FixedMatch.Bet for football betting guide.

Fixed Tips 100% Sure

Robert Weldon

October 5, 2025

Free Tips Predictions

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Fixed Tips 100% Sure

Betting Sites with 100% Sure Fixed Matches
Day: Monday Date: 06.10.2025

League: NETHERLANDS Eerste Divisie
Match: Vitesse – Den Bosch
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 1:2 Won

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Best Odds Matches 100% Sure

It’s entirely logical really. Winning is addicting. If a team is playing well and getting fixed matches results, then the players are going to be confident. And confidence is always a good thing, in any sport. Most of the sports men and women in the world fixed matches would tell you that their confidence helps them perform to the best of their ability. So it’s fair to assume that a Fixed Tips 100% Sure is likely to perform better than a team that has been losing week after week.

Recent form can therefore serve as a useful indicator of future performances. However, it should be noted that a team’s past results can only tell us so much in isolation of other factors. A team might have just won five straight games in a row, for example, making it easy to assume that they’re playing great and in hot form. But what if four of those games were against significantly weaker opposition? Do those Fixed Tips 100% Sure really tell us much about how well they’re playing?

What about if a team has just lost three games in a row? Based on that Fixed Tips 100% Sure alone, it’s easy to assume that they haven’t been playing well. But those three games might have been their three toughest games of the season, and they only lost each one by a very small margin. With that extra information, suddenly their form doesn’t look so bad. Despite losing, the team’s performances in those games might have given the players’ Fixed Tips 100% Sure.

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So there’s no point in looking at the recent results of a team without looking more closely at how well (or badly) they’ve actually been playing. The quality of the opposition has to be taken into account. It’s also advisable to look at their margins of victory or defeat. This helps to build a much clearer picture about the level of performances a team is putting in.

Of course, you also need to remember that both good and bad form can turn around at any time. No winning streaks last forever, nor do losing streaks. Overall, though, Fixed Tips 100% Sure recent form can be beneficial.

Motivation Fixed Tips 100 Sure

Motivation is regularly dismissed as a key factor in football best fixed matches, but it’s something we like to consider. The motivation of individual players, and teams collectively, can definitely have an impact on performance levels. There are times when players just aren’t as motivated as they can be, and there are times when they are very determined.

There’s a flip side too though. When players are really fired up – in a big rival game for example – there’s always a risk that they’ll lose control of their emotions. Not all players are capable of channeling their motivation in a positive way, so it can actually end up having a negative effect.

This makes it hard to judge the potential effects of motivation. So you need to be careful when considering this factor for your fixed sources betting decisions. Take it into account for sure, but don’t give it too much weight unless you have a very good reason to.

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Injuries

You should always check the injury reports before betting on a football games. Injuries to key players, or any players for that matter, can seriously damage a team’s chances of winning a fixed games. So you want to consider which players might be missing and assess the possible impact of their absence.

Remember how we talked about the importance of team depth earlier? One of the reasons why this is so important is because of the threat of injuries. Some teams can deal with the loss of players as they have suitable players to cover, but some teams don’t have this luxury. This needs to be factor in when making your betting decision.

Weather

Yes, the weather really can affect the Fixed Tips 100% Sure of football games. You could argue that both teams have to play in the same conditions, so it shouldn’t affect anything, but this view is too simplistic. Some teams manage to perform well in any conditions, while others can struggle in certain conditions. Particularly when those conditions are extreme.

Extreme weather conditions can definitely affect football betting fixed games.

It’s difficult to know exactly what impact the weather will have. And you don’t even know for sure what the weather’s going to be like anyway. As weather reports aren’t always entirely accurate. So you shouldn’t spend too much time worrying about the weather and the impact it might have on an upcoming game. It is something to bear in mind though, especially if you’re aware of Fixed Tips 100% Sure that a team has a tendency to perform badly in adverse weather conditions.

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Putting it Together Fixed Tips 100 Sure

Once you’ve learned all about the different factors that affect football games fixed bets. And given some thought to the impact they can have, it’s time to think about how you can use that information to your advantage. How exactly does it help you make better betting football tips 1×2 decisions?

Let’s consider the following three points to start with.

The best team doesn’t always win
Expect the unexpected, as anything can and will happen
Games can be decided on small margins

We’ve already touched on the first two points. We’ve also explained that this unpredictability is part of the appeal for football fixed odds today fans. What we haven’t mentioned yet, though, is that this unpredictability is also largely what creates the opportunity for making money from betting on football games.

This is where the third point comes in. Many football games betting tips are decided by the smallest of margins. One small factor that seems insignificant can be the difference between a team winning and a team losing. It naturally follows that small factors can also be the difference between a team covering the spread or failing to do so.

This is why you want to consider so many different Fixed Tips 100% Sure when making betting decisions. You’ll never completely eliminate the element of surprise, but you can certainly reduce it. And that, ultimately, is how you’re going to make money.

Fixed Odds Matches Today

Robert Weldon

October 5, 2025

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Fixed Odds Matches Today

Latest Football Betting Odds
Day: Sunday Date: 05.10.2025

League: FINLAND Ykkonen
Match: OLS Oulu – JJK Jyvaskyla
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 3:0 Won

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Tournament Football Betting

Thinking about tournament football betting? Bet on the big international football tournaments is difficult. It’s hard to know in what form the team for the tournament arrives. Due to the format of international tournaments, the team can get in a bad shape very quickly to problems, which many a punter can cost a lot of money. Let’s dive in and learn all about tournament football betting.

And that means one thing – punters must do our utmost not only to ensure that they were more than ready for the start of the tournament, but must also get prepared to quickly and accurately adapt to situations arising. Below you will find 5 different factors that can (resp. Should) betters get them to accede to changes in their betting strategy:

1) Team is missing right chemistry

Chemistry and leadership play a significant role in what performances will serve the team in the tournament Fixed Odds Matches Today. If players are not on the same wavelength and cooperation between the elements of the team does not work, then the team is vulnerable. Unfortunately, the situation is such that even a single loss can be fatal, so poor team chemistry is a big problem.

If a team shows signs of lack of chemistry (poor body language, lack of concentration and commitment, criticism of the rest of the team after matches), then perhaps really the right time not to your expectations for this team lowered. This is especially true if the chemistry and the degree of leadership in the team is not nearly as high as you expected. If you attempt to change quickly enough, you can find real value, as compared to the betting Fixed Odds Matches Today public will be one step ahead.

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2) Players do not have the correct form

Punters know that football can be the difference between winning and losing even a single player. This may be necessary shooter stretching offensive midfielder who excels in the creation process, or keeper, who literally line in the gate.

Before the start of the tournament you will surely know whether the team has some really key players (and if so, you’ll know who it is). If the player in the first match of the tournament does not give convincing performances, the team may suffer and you can earn by lowering your expectations from the team.

At the same time it is true that in this case you should not over-react rapidly and robustly. One or two bad matches still mean that the player will be useless to his team during the tournament. Punters must look at the bigger problems – health problems, problems with players around the key player, problems with the coach, and so on. Only after evaluation of these factors, you will know how this team really is.

3) The mixed assembly

Relatively long time before the tournament should have a coach an idea of how it will look its general assembly and also about what will be in the basic eleven. If, however, just before the start of the tournament will be any major changes (for example, due to the injuries of players), you should pay attention.

The order is still that, if necessary replace coach one another defender (and quality). But if the coach makes some big changes (in the report, in the style of the game), you should start thinking about the team’s performance in the tournament probably not something brilliant.

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4) Yellow and red cards

One of the important rule about tournament football betting is about yellow and red cards. Yellow and red cards can have a devastating effect on the team, because for them the key man team to lose the most important matches of the tournament.

5) Surprisingly strong teams

Experienced bettors know that virtually every major tournament appears 1-2 teams that are significantly stronger than expected. This may be necessary because the team “arrived” before The betting public expected the players played fast and formed a great team chemistry.

When any team at the start of the tournament will shine, bettors must correctly predict whether the team this performance maintained throughout the entire tournament. Once you know it, you’ll be able to perform adequate changes in their betting strategy Fixed Odds Matches Today.

Of course, but there are situations where the team is really strong and deserves more respect than he originally gave The betting public. The faster you can evaluate the situation, the more you’ll have a head start and the greater advantage you can get.

In play football betting markets to concentrate on

Asian handicap Football Betting Matches

This is where you make serious money. Remember, scores are reset from the time that you place your bet. If a team you want to bet on are winning 2-0 and they are on a -0.5 Asian handicap then you would need them to win the game from the moment you put your bet on. Forget about the score being 2-0, it is 0-0 you need your team to win from the remaining time left in the game.

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This is why Asian handicap betting is so beneficial to in play football betting. If you notice a team starting to dominate a match from a position of 1-2 down, you can bet on them on the Asian handicap knowing that the score is reset to 0-0 from the moment you place your bet!

Next team to score

Again, a great market to bet on in play football betting matches. The home team may be 3-0 up and you may of noticed that the visitors are peppering their goal with shots in a bid to get back into the game. The home side seem content to sit on their lead. Now is a great time to strike on the next team to score market.

Draw no bet

Provided the odds are stacked in your favour (value) this can be a great bet to get on when a team is dominating the game. Yet losing at the time you want to bet. You would get your stake back if the game finished a draw. Good win if your team managed to turn the game around and win.

Lucky 15 bet

As an advancement of the Yankee Bet, the Lucky 15 Bet includes, obviously, 15 bets. These 15 bets comprise of 4 single fixed bets, 6 two-leg multi, 4 three-leg multi, and 1 four-leg multi.

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This nice and simple betting strategy is easily explained. Although it initially only included betting on the number of goals scored during a football match, you are now able to bet on almost everything that is countable.

Score cast/win cast

In both the score cast and the win cast you have to bet on a player to score a goal. The only difference between those two strategies is that, in addition to predicting the scorer of a score cast bet, you have to guess the exact result of the game; while for a win cast bet it is enough to predict the winning team. In both cases, you need a little luck to win but also a good knowledge of the competing teams. Closing on the account of the hope that now you know all about Tournament football betting and ready earn money through fixed matches.

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Fixed Odds Euro Matches

Robert Weldon

October 4, 2025

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Fixed Odds Euro Matches

Reliable Fixed Matches
Day: Saturday Date: 04.10.2025

League: ENGLAND Premier League
Match: Arsenal – West Ham
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 2:0 Lost

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Fixed Odds Euro Matches: Zirkzee’s Dream Debut Secures Manchester United’s Victory Over Fulham

The eventful start to the Premier League saw Joshua Zirkzee swiftly make his mark by netting a last-minute goal, clinching a tight 1-0 win for Manchester United against Fulham at Old Trafford on Friday. The result was a thrilling conclusion to a match that saw United struggle to find a breakthrough for most of the game. You can also embark on a winning journey with our top predictions and tips for Fixed Odds Euro Matches. Simply reach out to us via Telegram or email and learn how!

Pre-Match Optimism Meets On-Field Frustration

Anticipation filled Old Trafford as United fans eagerly awaited the debut of their new signings and the start of another Premier League campaign. The club had unveiled four fresh faces before kick-off, while key figures from the revamped boardroom were present to witness the action. Despite the sense of renewal, United’s performance on the pitch in the first half mirrored many of their struggles from the previous season.

United had difficulty breaking through Fulham’s defense, with team captain Bruno Fernandes coming closest to opening the scoring. The first 45 minutes ended in frustration for the home side, who were unable to convert their dominance into goals. It wasn’t until the final minutes of the match that Zirkzee, a substitute, provided the decisive moment with a calm finish.

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Fixed Odds Euro Matches: Zirkzee’s Moment of Glory

With only three minutes remaining in regular time, Joshua Zirkzee stepped up to deliver a crucial goal on his United debut. Combining well with fellow substitute Alejandro Garnacho, the Dutch forward latched onto a cross and coolly slotted the ball into the bottom corner, sending the Old Trafford faithful into a frenzy. The 87th-minute strike proved to be the difference, giving United the perfect start to their Premier League campaign.

“To win here in my first home game and score a goal, it couldn’t have been scripted better.” Reflecting on his debut goal, Zirkzee expressed his delight in an interview with Sky Sports, saying, “I’ve been told scoring at the Stretford End is special, and to experience it in my first game is a feeling I’ll never forget. Manchester United is such a huge club, and you have to give 100% every day, and that’s the mindset I’m bringing.”

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United’s Struggles in Attack

Zirkzee’s late goal secured the victory for United, but the match raised multiple worries for manager Erik ten Hag. Despite strengthening key positions during the transfer window, United looked short of ideas in attack for much of the game. Fulham’s defense remained resilient, and United’s forward players found it difficult to create clear-cut chances.

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André Onana, United’s new goalkeeper, was called into action early, making a crucial save to deny Fulham’s Kenny Tete. On the offensive side, Bruno Fernandes had two excellent opportunities, but Fulham goalkeeper Bernd Leno was equal to both efforts, frustrating the Portuguese playmaker. Mason Mount, starting for United after an injury-plagued debut season, also came close to scoring but was thwarted by Leno’s impressive shot-stopping abilities.

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Fixed Odds Euro Matches: Zirkzee’s Impact

Joshua Zirkzee’s introduction in the second half proved to be a game-changing decision by Erik ten Hag. Alongside Garnacho, Zirkzee injected fresh energy into United’s attack, providing the spark that had been missing for much of the match. The pair combined brilliantly for the winning goal, with Garnacho delivering a pinpoint cross and Zirkzee showing composure beyond his years to guide the ball home.

This debut performance has already drawn comparisons between Zirkzee and another legendary Dutch striker, Ruud van Nistelrooy. Known for his clinical finishing during his time at Old Trafford, van Nistelrooy has returned to the club as a senior coach under ten Hag. The sight of Zirkzee scoring on his Premier League debut against Fulham – just as van Nistelrooy did years ago – was a fitting moment for United fans.

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Fulham’s Strong Start Ends in Disappointment

For Fulham, the loss was a bitter pill to swallow after a promising performance. Marco Silva’s side began the match brightly and caused several problems for United’s defense, particularly in the early stages. The visitors looked dangerous going forward, with Adama Traoré posing a constant threat down the wing. His pace and direct style kept United’s backline on high alert, although Fulham ultimately failed to capitalize on their opportunities.

Traoré’s speed and dribbling ability brought him into dangerous positions multiple times, but his decision-making let him down at crucial moments. In one instance, he broke into the box but allowed United’s debutant Noussair Mazraoui to intercept the ball, wasting a good chance to set up a teammate. Fulham’s frustrations were compounded when their former player, Andreas Pereira, squandered a golden opportunity, failing to convert from close range.

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Fixed Odds Euro Matches: Fulham’s Frustrations and United’s Defensive Resilience

As the match wore on, Fulham continued to press for a breakthrough but found themselves repeatedly denied by United’s defense. Despite the unknown status of his future at the team, Harry Maguire played a crucial part in preventing Fulham from scoring. The England international made a crucial interception to prevent Pereira from sending Alex Iwobi through on goal. It is a moment that proved pivotal in keeping the score level.

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Fulham’s inability to make the most of their early pressure ultimately left them vulnerable to United’s late sucker punch. Although they will leave Old Trafford disappointed, Silva can take some positives from his team’s performance. Particularly their defensive solidity and ability to create chances against a top Premier League side.

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The Importance of Zirkzee’s Debut Performance

Zirkzee’s winner not only gave United the three points but also provided a much-needed boost of confidence for the Dutch forward. Coming off a £36 million move from Bologna, Zirkzee arrived at United with high expectations. His debut performance showed that he has the potential to make a significant impact in the Premier League. His calmness in front of goal will give ten Hag more options in attack.

Zirkzee’s emergence as a potential key player for United adds another layer of depth to their squad. It’s something that ten Hag will undoubtedly appreciate as the season progresses. United is competing on multiple fronts, including the Premier League and Champions League. Having a reliable goalscorer like Zirkzee could be crucial to their success.

Fixed Odds Euro Matches: Ten Hag’s Tactical Decisions Under Scrutiny

Despite winning, there will be queries regarding Erik ten Hag’s strategy and the overall performance of United. The Dutch manager acknowledged before the game that his team might not be fully prepared for the season opener. The disjointed nature of their play reflected that. United’s attack lacked fluidity, and their passing was often erratic, leading to groans of frustration from the home crowd.

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However, ten Hag’s decision to introduce Garnacho and Zirkzee paid off in the end. The duo’s combination for the winning goal highlighted ten Hag’s ability to make game-changing substitutions. It is a quality that will be vital as United look to challenge for major honors this season. Nevertheless, ten Hag will know that there is still plenty of work to be done to get his team playing at the level required to compete at the top of the Premier League.

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Fulham’s Missed Opportunities

Fulham will look back on this match with a sense of missed opportunity. They had moments where they could have taken control of the game. This is especially in the first half when they were the more dangerous side. Kenny Tete’s early effort forced a save from Onana. It was a sign of Fulham’s intent, but they were unable to build on their promising start.

Adama Traoré was Fulham’s standout performer, using his speed and power to trouble United’s defense. However, his inability to deliver the final product proved costly, as Fulham failed to convert their chances into goals. The London club will need to be more clinical in future matches to avoid similar disappointments this season.

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Fixed Odds Euro Matches: United Start the Season on a Positive Note, but Challenges Remain

Manchester United’s 1-0 victory over Fulham may not have been the most convincing performance. But it provided them with the perfect start to the Premier League season. Zirkzee’s late winner capped off a memorable debut for the Dutch forward and gave United fans a glimpse of his potential. However, the match also exposed some of the team’s weaknesses, particularly in attack, where they struggled to create clear chances.

For Fulham, the result was a harsh reminder of the fine margins in the Premier League. Despite a strong showing, they left Old Trafford empty-handed. Silva’s team showed that they could compete with one of the league’s top sides. But they will need to improve their finishing if they are to achieve their goals this season.

As the season progresses, both teams will look to build on this opening match. For United, the focus will be on finding more consistency in their attacking play. Meanwhile, Fulham will aim to turn their promising performances into points. The Premier League season is long, and this opening encounter is just the beginning of what promises to be an exciting and unpredictable campaign.

Fixed Odds Correct Games

Robert Weldon

October 2, 2025

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Fixed Odds Correct Games

Best site for Fixed Matches
Day: Friday Date: 03.10.2025

League: NETHERLANDS Eerste Divisie
Match: Cambuur – FC Emmen
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 3:2 Won

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Site for Fixed Matches betting

In this article Fixed Odds Correct Games level and percentage staking strategies are compared. Which staking method produces the superior expected yield? How do the yield distributions contrast between the two? Read on to find out.

fixedmatch.bet’s Betting Resources has previously compared and contrasted a number of different staking strategies. I’ve looked at the expected profitability and risks of ruin for these strategies. For my latest article I want to compare specifically the two most commonly used plans: level versus percentage staking.

Level staking

With a level staking strategy, all stakes are the same size, regardless of what your Fixed Odds Correct Games are. Some bettors find level staking too inflexible in as much as it takes no account of the probability of winning your bet – or rather the risk of you losing one.

Why, for instance, would you want to risk the same amount of capital on something that has half, or quarter, or an eighth the chance of something else happening? Doesn’t it make more sense to scale stakes so that they are proportional to the risk associated with the bet?

In the short term Fixed Odds Correct Games, such an argument has its merits; over the longer term, perhaps less so. Fixed winning tips 1×2 Betting at longer odds means you are more at the mercy of statistical variance, or luck, both good and bad. More good luck can mean more profit. Unfortunately, the corollary is that more bad luck implies more loss.

However, the longer your betting history is, the smaller that variance becomes. Good and bad luck even out. Readers of my article last month may remember the simple formula I used to estimate the spread (or standard deviation,σ) of possible returns (%) betting n level stakes at ‘fair’ odds of o.

σ=√(o-1)/√n

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Having four times the number of bets will half the statistical spread of possibilities. Betting longer odds increases the spread of possibilities, but it will still decrease with increasing number of bets. 400 bets at odds of 5, for example, will have the same spread of possibilities as 100 bets at odds of 2.

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Betting the same stake for longer odds does imply a greater risk of capital loss on a bet by bet basis. But over the longer term you are not giving up potential profits by reducing those stakes (provided, of course, you are a bettor holding positive expected value).

Staking to win the same profit regardless of the Fixed Odds Correct Games means less profit will be contributed by the winning longer odds, simple by virtue of the fact they win less often. One might then wonder whether it is even worth bothering to bet longer odds at all.

Percentage FIXED ODDS CORRECT GAMES

Percentage or proportional staking calculates stakes as a proportion of your current bankroll; hence they will increase as your bankroll grows after winning, decrease as it shrinks after losing. Advocates of one specific percentage staking plan, the Kelly criterion, argue that it is the most efficient way to grow a bankroll, although it can only achieve this by requiring a rather aggressive attitude towards risk management.

More generally its appeal lies in allowing a winning bettor to grow their bankroll faster than they could by simply betting level stakes. It’s also worth reminding ourselves that, in theory at least, we can’t ever go bust betting percentage stakes, as even if you lost every single bet ht-ft fixed match, you are never committing the whole of your remaining bankroll, only a proportion of it.

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Nevertheless, it is the interplay of losing and winning in sequence that throws up some rather interesting observations when comparing the performance of this money management strategy with level staking, as we shall see.

Distribution of profits for level versus percentage staking

Consider a betting history of 1,000 bets at odds of 2.00 where the bettor holds a 5% expected value (EV) that is the expectation of returning $105 for every $100 wagered. The projections below shows the spread of profits for level stakes (5 units) and percentage stakes (5%) alike from a 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation.

For level staking the spread of possible profits follows the typical bell-shaped normal distribution curve as we would expect. The average (and median) profit is 250 units, which is what we would expect after turning over 5,000 units holding a 5% advantage.

For percentage staking the shape of the distribution is markedly different, and heavily skewed towards the higher profitability end. Again, it’s probably not that surprising, since a lucky performance could see bankrolls and stakes grow exponentially.

I’ve stopped the chart at a profit of 7,000 units simply for clarity, but the largest profit made in the 10,000 runs was nearly 95,000 units. This skew has a significant influence on the average profit. Whilst the median is still 250 (implying about half are less and half are more profitable), the average is 1,120, weighted by a few very large profits that the Monte Carlo simulation delivered.

Look closely at the left-hand side of the histograms. You will see that there are more underachieving outcomes for percentage staking than for level staking. About 21% of them in this simulation were actually unprofitable, compared to only about 5% for level staking.

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Distribution of FIXED ODDS CORRECT GAMES

Instead of comparing profits, let’s now compare yield percentage for the two staking plans. Clearly for a very profitable percentage staking history, the total turnover of stakes will be much greater.

One percentage staking profit, for example, saw a profit of 2,462 units (compared to 440 from level staking), but to achieve that 33,699 units were turned over (compared to 5,000 units for level staking). In fact, in this example the profit over turnover or yield was lower for percentage staking (6.85%) than it was for level staking (8.80%). Is that typical? The next chart shows how all yields were distributed for the full Monte Carlo simulation.

The average yield from level staking was 5.00%. Compare this to the average for percentage staking which was just half this at 2.51%. The chart also further illustrates how many more possible outcomes are unprofitable when fixed matches tips betting percentage stakes compared to betting level stakes.

We can change the simulation parameters, for example different betting odds and different expected values (EV) held by the bettor.

For this article I chose 40 different EV / Odds pairs. To limit further the number of possible parameter combinations I only consider the percentage stake size equivalent to that dictate by full Kelly staking strategy, calculated by EV / Odds -1, where EV is express as a percentage.

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For example, for the scenario already discuss (EV = 5%, Odds = 2.00), the Kelly percentage is 5% / (2.00 – 1). The percentage stakes are shown below for all 40 combinations. For the level stake scenarios, the magnitude of the percentage was used. Thus, for the EV = 3%, odds = 3.00 combination which implies 1.5% stakes sizes, level stakes of 1.5 units were used. MANIPULATED FIXED MATCHES are a good choice for those looking for guaranteed returns.

Percentage stakes sizes for different EV / odds pairs

The next two tables compare the average yields achieved from the Monte Carlo simulations. For level stakes, the yields are in line with expectation, plus or minus a little bit of random noise which to reduce further would have strained my limited computational resources.

In contrast, the yields from percentage staking are generally about half those values. This was truly an unexpected and perhaps unintuitive finding, although the discussion which follows will reveal why it happens.

Probability of unprofitability

Even sharp bettors holding profitable expected value face a non-zero probability of failing to make a profit over a specified betting history. Of course, the law of large numbers means that probability diminishes as their betting history gets longer. Nevertheless, it’s worth considering those probabilities for these simulated 1,000-bet histories for the purposes of comparting level and percentage staking.

The last two tables show the probability of each EV / Odds combination failing to return a profit based on the 10,000 simulation runs.

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Again, as for average yield there will be a little bit of residual random noise, but the broader pattern is clear: you’re always more likely to fail to show a profit betting percentage stakes compared to betting level stakes, no matter what odds you bet or what EV you hold, and sometimes the magnitude of the difference is considerable.

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Probability of not making a profit after 1,000 bets with level stakes

Probability of not making a profit after 1,000 bets with percentage stakes

By way of example, a reasonably sharp handicapper (odds around 2.00) holding a 3% advantage over the bookmaker could expect to be showing losses after 1,000 3-unit bets about 1 in every 6 times. If, instead, they chose to bet 3% stakes, that would rise to nearly 1 in 3.

An explanation: the asymmetry of percentage losses and gains

Why does percentage staking appear to be inferior to level staking, at least in terms of expected yields and the ability to show a profit? The simple explanation is that it takes a bigger percentage growth to recover a previous loss.

Let’s consider the example of even-money betting halftime fulltime fixed matches. Losing a 5% stake drops a 100-unit bankroll to 95 units. To recover that takes a profit of 5/95 or 5.26%, but the percentage staking strategy would only advocate a next bet of 4.75 units and winning it at odds of 2.00 would return the bankroll 99.75. By contrast, the bankroll from level staking would be back at 100 units.

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The problem is the same in reverse. Losing an even-money bet following a previous even-money winner will lose more absolute capital than was previously won. In this example, regardless of whether you win or lose first, your bankroll is going to finish on 99.75, less than what you started with, despite theoretically holding an expected value of 0% for this pair of bets.

More generally, and regardless of the betting odds fixed matches, when you lose it will take longer to recover; when you win it will take less time to regress.

Of course, in purely monetary terms a bettor holding proven profitable expected value will make more profit absolutely than their level stakes counterpart. That, after all, is the point of percentage staking.

Nevertheless, this exercise has been a useful reminder that as with anything in gambling. There is always a trade-off to be had between risk and reward Fixed Odds Correct Games.

In return for a more aggressive acceleration of profits which percentage staking offers. One must accept a greater likelihood of doing considerably worse than expectation (and potentially losing money). Simply because of the asymmetric nature of the distribution of Fixed Odds Correct Games possible outcomes.

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