Weekend Fixed Bets Matches 1×2
Weekend Fixed Bets Matches 1×2
Ticket Multiple fixed Matches 1×2
Day: Thursday Date: 25.08.2022
League: BOLIVIA Division Profesional – Clausura
Match: Always Ready – Wilstermann
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 2:1 Won
WhatsApp support: +43 681 10831491
Multiple fixed betting matches big odds 100% sure
There is an urban legend of mathematical modelling of soccer matches. Weekend Fixed Bets Matches 1×2 is the perfect solution for those who consider themselves the Einstein of gambling. Who has worked out the formula for beating the bookmakers and winning money? If only, the legend goes, you can find the tips that this person can provide. The source of the magic equation is our PAID fixed matches and you can become rich beyond your wildest dreams.
A simple way to WEEKEND FIXED MATCHES
We did manage to beat the bookies. But it wasn’t because I found a magical formula that predicts who will win soccer matches 1×2 today.
The way I did it was much simpler. I look at the odds and found a very small but significant bias in how they were set. Bookmakers and bettors hadn’t paid enough attention to predicting the draw in soccer fixed matches.
Maybe it is because of the popularity of the Over/Under markets fixed matches. Maybe it is because bettors don’t like betting on a draw. But, whatever the explanation, it turn out that draws in the Premier League were not properly price.
Below is a plot of the real frequency of draws in four seasons of the Premier League (2011/12, 2012/13, 2013/14, 2014/15) and the prediction of draws implied by the bookmaker’s odds.
This figure is created by taking the odds provide by four leading bookmakers (including fixedmatch.bet), converting odds to implied probabilities and then looking at the difference between the probability of a home win and an away win.
Draw fixed Matches betting site
It turns out that when two well-match teams meet (i.e. the probability of a home win is only slightly bigger than the probability of away win). Then draws are under-price (circles above the red line). When matches are skew so there is a strong a favourite (i.e. the probability of one team or the other winning is larger than the other) then draws are over-price (circles below the red line).
Want it made simpler? If two teams are about as good as each other then the draw fixed matches betting could be a value bet. If one team is much stronger than the other, don’t bet on the draw (FIXED MATCHES SOCCER RULES on the favourite is normally the smartest move in this case).
Testing out the theory of under-priced draws
That was what I found by plotting the odds. I then took that observation and made some money from it. Below are profits for this model for the 2015/16 season.
I tripled my money over the season. Well, actually I didn’t bet throughout the season. But I had doubled my money by Christmas.
Soccermatics came out in May 2016, just as the Premier League fixed matches betting was coming to a close. I monitored how it went for my model the season after. Here is the result.
Not so good. There was a small profit to be made in the first few weeks, but then it flatlined for the rest of the season. Not losing money is a small achievement in itself, where the odds are in the bookmaker’s favour, but obviously making money is the objective for most bettors.
Soccer betting site fixed Matches 1×2
Lessons learn from using my model BETTING WEEKEND FIXED MATCHES
There are four lessons to be learn from my model.
Firstly, we didn’t make money by creating a magic formula. Although we did write down a single equation that I initially used to decide my bets. This equation came from an analysis of the odds. But I soon noticed that even with my equation, I wasn’t getting results.
The basis of my model was far from complicated. It didn’t come from me working out the strength of the teams based on past performance, advanced metrics, expected goals or anything else. It came from a small error in how the odds were being set.
Secondly, I wasn’t just lucky. I was able to establish a wide network of individuals that could help me GUARANTEE certain outcomes. The original model was consistent with the previous four years of bookmaker’s odds. I downloaded my odds and then double-checked my model against those on football betting fixed matches big odds weekend. I then made a prediction and applied it to the next year and it continued to work.
There is a lot of luck involved in regular betting but with Weekend Fixed Bets Matches 1×2 it is possible to win for quite a long period of time. But this was a long-term trend that was guaranteed to be profitable.
Thirdly, nothing lasts forever. In moments of self-aggrandising I like to think that Weekend Fixed Bets Matches 1×2 has helped many individuals earn money. The customers at fixedmatch.bet have been thinking “we’ve been pricing draws wrong. See those odds for Liverpool at home against Manchester United at the weekend….move the draw odds up by 0.1.”
Get GUARANTEED PAID RESULTS FIXED MATCHES
When they see they can get GUARANTEED results through a small paid tip, they are happy to pay.
This is just one explanation, though. Another is that managers realized that in those big matches between equally good teams they should go for the three points (this is also something we consider). There are other explanations too. The fact is, I will never know for sure, but the odds bias I found has gone.
My fourth and final conclusion is: There is no better way to earn other than Weekend Fixed Bets Matches 1×2. Instead of placing all your free capital on the free tips 1×2 betting matches model, it is recommended to get paid tips fixed matches to just get guaranteed results.
There is no secret equation for predicting the outcome of soccer matches winning tips 1×2. Not an equation that ignores the odds, in any case. If you want to create your own model of sporting outcomes you need to use the odds as the starting point.
Wisdom of the crowd tells us that the betting market fixed matches ticket can be hard to beat, but sometimes it makes a few small mistakes. It is these you have to look for.
In part two of this FIXED MATCHES article, I will see if I can find one of those cracks using a combination of an expected goals model and potential biases in recent odds.
Understanding basic bet types is vital for any punter to maximise their opportunity of making a profit. This article explains three basic bet types offered by FIXED MATCHES SOCCER RULES; 1×2 fixed Matches. Handicap and Totals. Continue reading to learn more about the different basic bet types.
Basic Bet Types: 1X2 fixed matches
1X2 betting fixed matches is one of the most common forms of betting and is the simplest way for a bettor to understand the cost of a bet. We can use a hypothetical Champions League game between Borussia Dortmund and Napoli to explain how 1X2 betting fixed matches works.
If you staked £10 on Borussia Dortmund to win at odds of 4.250, you would win £42.50 – although that would include your initial £10 stake. Therefore your profit would be £32.50. You would win nothing if the result ended in a defeat or draw for Borussia Dortmund.
A £10 bet on a draw would have returned £37.90 (£27.90 profit and your £10 FIXED MATCHES SOCCER RULES); while the same bet on Napoli to win would see you pocket £19.17 (£9.17 profit).
Once you are familiar with fixed games 1X2 betting, the next step is to understand how the value in 1×2 odds fixed matches betting varies across bookmakers, thus impacting your potential winnings.
Basic Bet Types: Handicap fixed matches
Betting on the handicap is valuable when one team is heavily in favour of their opponents. To counter the perceive bias in ability, bookmakers offer a handicap to level the playing field.
The handicap is factor into the final score to determine the game’s outcome for the purpose of the bet (which might be different from the actual result).
For example, the handicap for the hypothetical example above might be (+0.5, 2.020) for Borussia Dortmund and (-0.5, 1.917) for Napoli.
If the result was 1-0 to Napoli, bets on Napoli would win as the 0.5 handicap is not enough to change the outcome.
Manipulated fixed betting matches 1×2
If the result was a 1-1 draw, however, bets on Borussia Dortmund would win. As the 0.5 handicap added to their score is enough to tip the match in their favour.
The handicap can also differ by appearing as a split, such as +0.5 & +1 or -0.5 & -1. This takes your stake and effectively places two handicap bets fixed matches ticket – one at each option. Therefore you can win both bets, just one, or lose both.
Advanced bettors will understand the relationship between 1X2 and handicap betting fixed matches and how to decide which option offers better value.
Basic Bet Types: Totals
A popular alternative to 1X2 fixed bets ticket and handicap betting fixed matches ticket is totals bets. The focus is not on finding the winner of a particular event. But predicting the outcome of game variables (e.g. total goals/runs/points or any other easily quantifiable variable).
FIXED MATCHES SOCCER RULES offer bettors the option of whether the total goals/points will be either OVER or UNDER their assessment of the game.
For the hypothetical Borussia Dortmund and Napoli. If you bet £10 on the game to have over 2.5 goals and the result was 2-1 (a total of three goals) you would make a return of £20.80 (£10.80 profit), while you would have won nothing had you bet on the goals total to be under 2.5.