Worldwide Fixed Matches
Worldwide Fixed Matches
Finland Fixed Matches 100% Sure
Day: Sunday Date: 06.06.2021
League: FINLAND Kakkonen Group C
Match: JBK – Vaajakoski
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 1:1 Lost
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Matched betting guarantees you a profit. Interested? We thought so. So how does it work? You’ll probably be well aware of all the free bet offers advertised by the many bookmakers. Well, matched betting only works when a free bet is available. Let’s learn more about other worldwide fixed matches in this article.
First things first, you need to find a free bet Monday tips 1×2 – most bookies offer these on sign up. Then it’s a case of finding a suitable event to wager on; you’ll need something that doesn’t have a clear favourite. It’s then a case of using your free bet to back a winner whilst utilizing a betting exchange website to ‘lay’ against the team you’ve backed. A lay bet is simply saying I think team X will not win thus covering a loss and draw. You now have all three outcomes covered.
Of course, you need to calculate the relevant stake to lay whilst your amount at risk – called the lay liability – is higher than the stake as it needs to cover potential losses because of how betting exchanges work.
Don’t worry though because profit is guaranteed! Let’s look at an example:
Today, Kilmarnock host Dundee United. Your free bet, which in this instance will be via FixedMatch.Bet, is to back the home side i.e. you think Kilmarnock will win. The odds are 2.30. You can lay the bet i.e. Kilmarnock will fail to win with Smarkets at 2.42.
£10 free bet stake * 2.30 = £23 – £10 as the stake isn’t returned = £13
Lay £5.42 * 2.42 = £13.12 (your liability is £7.70, the difference between £13.12 and £5.42, which is the backers stake).
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If your ‘back’ bet wins, you make £13.00 profit from fixedmatch.bet but lose £7.70 on the markets lay bet i.e. you’ve made £5.30 profit. If, however, Kilmarnock lose or draw then you win nothing on the FixedMatch.Bet side but scoop your profit from markets at £5.42 (minus a small commission).
The only other thing to consider is that most free bets require you to place a qualifying bet. Follow the same back and lay process as above and you will make a very minimal loss – usually pence – which will be more than covered in the second bet.
The Kelly Criterion method
Here we look at a betting strategy that was developed to profit in the financial world. Its transition to football betting works seamlessly and, as football fixed bets 1×2 trading strategies go, it’s probably the one with the best grounding to help you build sustainable profit. It will take some getting used to though. The main reason for this is because the Kelly Criterion method is all about probability and bankroll management; this means you’ll need to master a few mathematical calculations before you can really set about using it. We realize that might not be appealing to a lot of people but the flip side is that you can apply the strategy to pretty much any event you want.
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The starting place for the Kelly Criterion strategy is locating an event you’d like to bet on; let’s call it a straight forward match result fixed bet. Initially, there are two pieces of information you will need; the first is given to you by the bookmaker – the odds. The second will take a bit more effort; you need to work out the actual probability. There are a lot of ways to do this so we won’t tread that path right now. These two elements form the basis of the first mathematical calculation, which shows the value of a bet.
If the value of the first calculation is negative then you do not bet on the event. If the value is positive then you can move on to the second calculation. It determines how much money you should look to stake. Of course, everyone will have different bankrolls and therefore your answer will be expressed as a percentage. This will give you a third and final calculation to establish how much cash you need to stake. Experts recommend this method for all the worldwide fixed matches.
The Martingale Method
The Martingale strategy was originally born in the casino world. It has slowly been adopted into sport. From a logical standpoint, it makes sense as to how you can profit following the process. It works. The practice will even see you thrown out of a casino. It does, however, come with a substantial warning; out of all the football betting strategies we mention this one comes with the highest risks because of the need for a big starting bankroll and the fact you can theoretically max out the staking limits bookies put in place.
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The casino game the Martingale method was developed around is roulette. You pick a colour (red or black) and constantly double your stake until you win and, because the odds are evens i.e. 1/1, you’ll always end up with a profit equal to your starting stake. It’s a similar thought process in football free daily odds 1×2. You find a bet where the odds are greater than or equal to evens and bet time and time again until it comes in, each time doubling your stake. Logically sound.
The trouble is, even starting with a modest stake of £1, if you run through 10 losses in a row you need to find some big money – by most people standards. Why? Well, £1 becomes £2, £2 becomes £4 and before you know it the stake for bet number 10 is £512 and you’ve already spent £511 over the past nine bets. That’s over a grand and even if you win bet 10, you’re only gaining £1 profit. It might take a good week to walk through this process too.
There you have it, our overview of some of the football betting strategies that could help transform the way you bet.
Cons of Marginale method
- The amount spent on trading can reach huge proportions after just a few transactions.
- If the trader runs out of funds and exits the trade while using the strategy, the losses faced can be disastrous.
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- There is a chance that the stocks stop trading at some point in time.
- The risk-to-reward ratio of the Martingale Strategy is not reasonable. While using the strategy, higher amounts are spent with every loss until a win, and the final profit is only equal to the initial bet size.
- The strategy ignores transaction costs associated with every trade.
- There are limits placed by exchanges on trade size. Therefore, a trader does not receive an infinite number of chances to double a bet.
Lay betting strategies
We’ve just touched on lay bets in the above. Essentially, they are just a way of saying ‘that won’t happen’ rather than the traditional betting approach of ‘this will happen’. The logic to a lay bet does present opportunity though and it’s something plenty of bettors do. We’ll talk about two examples of how to use lay betting as a strategy. This strategy is applicable to all the worldwide fixed matches.
The first is focussed on laying correct scores fixed matches Today. It’s well known that predicting the exact score line of a football match free betting is one of the hardest bets to win. With that nugget planted firmly in your mind, lay bets allow you to say ‘it won’t be that score’. Of course, there are plenty of score possibilities in any given match too meaning you can have several lay bets placed at once. The only way you lose is when one of the scores you lay actually washes in as the correct score fixed bets.
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The second of the lay football trading strategies we look at focuses on targeting specific in-play games. First of all, you’ll be looking for matches where you have a heavy favourite (cup matches can work well). The prospect of laying against a League Two side playing, for example, Man City is far from exciting. Your odds would be atrocious. If the underdog happens to take the lead though those odds start to improve. After all, it becomes like a handicap fixed matches betting market. You now have the option to lay against the underdog with the idea that a significantly stronger team will come back.
Hopefully, we’ve covered the logic of a ‘lay bet’ in the above section regarding matched betting because you’ll be using it again here. Price boost exploitation is similar to arbitrage betting and matched betting – but it has two huge things in it’s favour over those. Where matched betting is concerned, you’re reliant on having free bets – that’s not the case here meaning nor is the qualifying bet. With arbitrage bets, you’re relying on an abnormally weighted set of odds on offer from a bookmaker – with price boosts, the bookie is deliberately giving you this edge whilst risk of being ‘gubbed’ (having your account restricted) is virtually zero. Why would a bookie do that? Plain and simply because most people won’t exploit the opportunity it creates and instead will just wager additional funds in a good old fashioned gamble. Hopefully now you would have enough knowledge about worldwide fixed matches.