100% Sure Fixed Matches Football
100% Sure Fixed Matches Football
Genuine Fixed Bets 1×2 Matches
Day: Friday Date: 19.08.2022
League: SINGAPORE Premier League
Match: Albirex Niigata – Tampines
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50 Result: 4:2 Won
WhatsApp support: +43 681 10831491
Accurate fixed bets 1×2 Football
A lot of gamblers trust their 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football guts instinct to bet. It is without realizing that relying on ready-made rules of thumb – known in psychology as heuristics – can lead to poor decision-making. Read on to find out what the most common heuristics are and how to avoid them.
There is a very good reason we rely on fixed matches have time to weigh up the situation. So developed quick-fire methods. Since these produce incredible results, we’ve decided to help our clients get profits too.
Our distant ancestors when faced with complex life-threatening problems always came up with quick solutions. That dew passed down through generations, and we are still relying on them, often when we shouldn’t. Many individuals are looking for guaranteed results in betting fixed matches, that can only happen if you opt for our paid fixed matches.
Anchoring affects people’s ability to estimate the most probable number of items of a particular kind. And the most probable value along a sequence.
Example: A group is ask to guess the percentage of African countries in the United Nations. Before answering they witness a random process to produce a number (the anchor). And are ask whether the percentage of African Nations is above or below that anchor. They then make their actual estimate of African countries in the United Nations. The estimates given will track the anchor, even though the participants know it is random.
Introducing the Common Heuristic
Without realizing it, the individuals are anchoring their estimate to a totally arbitrary point. The reason for this is thought to be because the anchor is take as a working hypothesis, a starting point from which the individual is reluctant to move too far away from.
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This phenomenon is widely exploit in marketing and is very relevant to betting fixed odds 1×2. Bettors should beware anchors in bet wording, and realize how handicaps, and spread values will influence your judgements, without you even realizing.
Availability bias manifests in people’s tendency to attach greater significance to events that leave the strongest impression, or are easier to recall.
Examples of this include the way people over-estimate the risk associated with dramatic and traumatic events such as a terrorist attack or earthquakes. The sale of earthquake insurance goes up immediately after earthquakes though the risk is greatly diminished, while people are prepared to pay a higher premium to insure against death from an act of terrorism than insurance against death of any kind (which would obviously include terrorism).
Perspectives In Betting
From a fixed match single betting perspective be wary of assigning excessive significance to more recent or memorable results. Ask yourself whether you find it easier to recall a 0-0 draw or a high-scoring game.
It’s likely to be the latter, but it doesn’t mean it is more probable. In soccer win tips 1×2 bettors tend to over-estimate the frequency of events like red-cards and corners, because they are important and easily recalled. This impacts perceived probability and betting behavior. You can rest easy when you choose fixed matches.
It is linked to a common phenomenon of bettors favoring the Over in Totals markets, as availability bias leads them to wrongly conclude the event concerned is more likely than in reality. Use our fixed matches to get the best returns on the market!
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This heuristic describes how people tend to demonstrate greater diversity when confronted with simultaneous rather than sequential choices.
Example: When asked to choose five chocolates from a selection box, with an equal number of varieties, individuals make more diverse selections than when they make five sequential choices.
With relation to fixed winning football 1×2 matches betting, punters tend to invest more when the opportunity appears to be more diversified. A good example would be backing the draw fixed matches tips and the away team based on the perception of a more diversified bet, as opposed to simply laying the home team. There isn’t, however a logical reason why you should bet more on regular matches when you have fixed matches.
Escalation of commitment or sunk cost
This heuristic describes how people feel compelled to justify a commitment by increasing the cumulative investment despite the potential cost going forward outweighing the 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football.
This is commonly described as ‘throwing good money after bad’. An example would be to sit through a film that you are not enjoying just because you have already invested time and money in watching it, and therefore determined to justify that investment. People in these situations tend to display an irrational determination to justify their original decision, instead of ‘cutting their losses’. Our fixed match experts also provide free tips, however the free tips are not guaranteed – our fixed matches are!
People tend to believe short sequences of random events are representative of longer ones, ignoring the fact that these events are statistically independent.
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Example: The gambler’s fallacy is also known as the Monte Carlo Fallacy because in 1913 black come up 26 times in a row on a roulette table at the Monte Carlo casino. After the fifteenth black bettors were piling onto red, assuming the chances of yet another black number were becoming astronomical, thereby illustrating an irrational belief that one spin somehow influences the next.
The gambler’s fallacy is closely related to the Hot Hand Fallacy, which is the belief in streaks of good/bad luck. Where someone experiences what seems like an atypical sequence of events.
They infer some special significance i.e. I am on a hot streak, or my luck is out. It has come to be known as the Hot Hand Fallacy after a study in the 1980s suggested a basketball player. who successfully makes a 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football is no more likely to be successful the next time they throw just because of their initial success. Fixed matches are sure bets, that indicate limitless earnings.
This is particularly relevant in betting for random games of chance such as roulette, lotteries and dice games. Humans aren’t machines, we try to be rational, but our instincts often get in the way. This can be costly for gamblers, so as much as possible ignore what your gut is saying unless its time for lunch. However, for fixed matches you have nothing to worry about!
If this article has struck a chord with you, then further reading of Daniel Kahneman & (the late) Amos Tversky is highly recommended.
His best seller “Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow” summarizes much of his work, and will open the eyes of anyone interested in how people deal with making risk based decisions under uncertainty, which is exactly what betting is.
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The impact of managing ruin-risk on absolute profits.
Let’s suppose we consider a 1% risk of ruin to be the maximum acceptable. For a bettor betting odds fixed matches 1×2 of ten, their stakes can be no more than one unit for a 100 starting bankroll. By contrast, for the bettor betting much shorter odds of 1.25, they can risk stakes of six units. Consequently, despite the longshot bettor having a much higher profit expectation, they will actually end up with about the same absolute profit as the bettor who bets on strong favorites. If you want guaranteed profits, opt for our fixed matches services.
Another example: suppose the acceptable ruin-risk is about 20%. A bettor betting odds fixed matches of five should stake about five units. In contrast, the bettor placing bets at odds of 1.5 can stake about 15 units. The former has a profit expectation about three times the latter. Hence, again they’ll both end up with about the same absolute profit expectation.
There is a clear and on obvious conclusion here: for 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football with equivalent skill levels. Accepting equivalent risks of ruin implies that it makes very little different what 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football you bet at. Targeting longer odds. Because they offer more percentage profit expectation must be counter balanced by managing an increased risk of ruin by reducing stake sizes. Fixed matches can assist with getting larger returns at no risk.
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Taleb followed his thought experiment on ensemble versus time probability by quoting Warren Buffet:
“In order to succeed, you must first survive.”
He followed it with his own interpretation:
“The presence of ruin does not allow cost-benefit analyses.”
Buffet and Taleb are right. Ruin changes the expectancy calculation. The estimated fixed matches profit expectancies all assume 1,000 wagers. Evidently, when the probability of ruin is non-zero not all sequences will last that long 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football.
Consider a bettor placing wagers at odds of two at stakes of 10 units. They face a 23% risk of ruin within 1,000 wagers. In my 10,000 betting history simulations, 95% of those sequences that experienced ruin theoretically. And went on to show a profit with an average return on investment of 105.74%. But in reality, those profits would never have happened. Because there is no next day for the ruined bettor.
If we want to keep real expectations as close as possible to their theoretical counterparts. We must minimize the risk of ruin to very small levels. Intuitively, most serious bettors understand this. But the analysis here will hopefully quantify these ideas.
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What is very clear is that for even skilled advantage players. To hold the probability of ruin to levels significantly below 1% we cannot entertain stake sizes much beyond 1% of an initial bankroll. And smaller still if betting at longer odds. And when we actively think about our risk of ruin it becomes clear that the type of odds we might choose to wager makes very little difference at all. Betting perspective be wary of assigning excessive 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football to more recent or memorable results.
Ask yourself whether you find it easier to recall a 0-0 draw or a high-scoring game. You can also leverage our fixed matches to get higher profitability and guaranteed results. Our clients are extremely happy with what we do, and our reviews on the website prove the accuracy of our fixed matches.
Hope this article was helpful for you in understanding about 100% Sure Fixed Matches Football and it helped you understand fixed matches and gave tips that you require to earn profits.