Double Fixed Matches Predictions
Double Fixed Matches Predictions
ht ft fixed matches free predictions
Day: Wednesday Date: 11.08.2021
League: CHINA Super League – First stage
Match: Shandong Taishan – Cangzhou
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.85 Result: 2:1 Won
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Today Leaked Football Betting Matches
Those looking to convert their football knowledge into income via a bookmaker will often use a mix of research and instincts as the basis for decision making on Double fixed matches predictions.
Yet, even when equipped with a profound knowledge of the sport, they can still be caught out without an adequate system or Double fixed matches predictions strategy.
Despite having confidence in your own ability to make the right calls on football safe matched fixed betting markets, as we all know things don’t always pan out as Double fixed matches predictions and sport in general.
That’s why bettors need to have a strategy that they stick to in order to nullify the potential of abnormal results harming your bankroll.
In this guide, we’ll analyse a few Double fixed matches predictions systems in football safe win predict tips to give more food for thought for punters who follow the global game, and help you decide on your overall Double fixed matches predictions strategy on the sport.
Double fixed matches predictions Systems That Work
We’ve split this up into two sections for you.
This first section looks at Double fixed matches predictions systems that really work.
With these, you’re either guaranteed or have a good chance of making regular profits:
Are you looking for a Double fixed matches predictions system that works every single time?
Unlike a few other methods listed in this post, matched betting is the only football system that is virtually risk-free (barring human error and gubbings) and will continue to deliver big profits time and time again.
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The trick is to back bets and then lay them off so that you can’t actually lose a bet – regardless of the outcome, you will win.
You should be doing this on promotions where a bookmaker has promised to match your bet with a free bet. By laying off your bet, you can’t lose. You are guarantee a free bet fixed match today regardless of the outcome of the game.
Bettor can then also lay off the free bet to ensure you make a profit no matter what.
You are guarantee to make a profit every single month with the matched betting system.
We’ve made over £75,000 in profit since starting matched betting – and we’ve never had a losing month. (If you’re in the UK, you can start here for free.)
The Kelly Criterion
Based on sound money management, the Kelly Criterion is a betting system that implements a calculated method to determine the stake of a bet on an outcome with higher-than-expected odds.
The system maximizes the value of the bet by determining the percentage of your bankroll you should use.
There are many variations of this formula, and some appear comprehensible only to math wizards, but here we’ve put it in layman’s terms.
Stake = (Decimal Odds x % Chance Win) – 1) / (Decimal Odds – 1) * 100
Stake = Maximum stake
Decimal Odds = Odds offered by the bookmaker
% Chance Win = Probability of winning as determined by you, expressed as a decimal point
Let’s say you have calculated the probability as 55% (0.55) on an even-money (2.0) bet:
Stake = ((2.0 x 0.55) – 1) / (2.0 – 1) x 100
= ((1.10 – 1) / 1) x 100
Stake = 10%
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For those who get headaches from formulas such as the above, the stake, put simply, is the difference between the probability of winning and losing as determined by you.
If you don’t have an edge, or have a negative edge, then don’t bet.
Just like any system the Kelly Criterion has its drawbacks, and these are quite pronounced in football betting free match fixed odds.
Firstly, using the example above, it often asks you to invest a significant amount of your bankroll on a bet.
Given it’s an aggressive strategy that looks to maximize your profits. You’ll find that a large stake is often require.
The second and most significant shortcoming of this betting system lies in the Kelly Criterion’s assumption that a bettor is able to accurately predict the probability of a certain outcome.
If you misinterpret a team’s chance of winning as a percentage value. The calculations behind this method become skewed and you pay the price.
Therefore, if deciding to test the method in football betting 1×2 max bet matches, perhaps it’s better to be conservative and avoid overestimating the probability of a victory.
That will ensure your stakes aren’t exuberant and the losses don’t eat up all of your bankroll.
Fibonacci Method of Double fixed matches predictions
Among the three possible outcomes to football matches sure predict tips – win, loss or draw – one often gets overlooked, the draw.
Perhaps this is because they can be more difficult to pick than either Team A or Team B winning.
That’s certainly the reasoning behind implementing the Fibonacci Method. Which is based on the theory that it is harder for bookmakers to predict a draw that the other two possible outcomes.
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So, by using the Fibonacci Method in football betting fixed matched, the bettor tries to exploit this.
The Fibonacci Method is based on a mathematical sequence where each new number equals the total of the previous two.
It looks like this: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13… and so on.
How does this all apply to football?
Well, implementing this method has encouraged on those wishing to bet on draws.
Basically, the method entails the implementation of two principles:
- Find bets on draws with a probability above 2.618 as reflected by bookmaker odds
- In the case of losing bets, increase your subsequent betting stake by following the Fibonacci sequence
As with the Martingale Method, Fibonacci thinking relies on continually increasing your stake to cover your previous losses.
We’ve outlined the dangers of this, but by comparison to the Martingale Method the increases within a sequence of Fibonacci bets are gradual, thereby minimizing the total amount of liability during a bad run.
That’s not to say that this method protects you from the risks of seeing your bankroll disappear in the case of losing streak. It can.
But the mathematical principle behind the Fibonacci approach is a lot more measured than simply doubling your stake each time.
If pursuing this method, perhaps it’s worth reviewing the amount of draws that have taken place across several seasons in different leagues, and choosing a league where draws fixed matches Ticket are more common.
With some statistical analysis as your back-up, this is certainly a method that would be worth testing the success of over time.
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Double fixed matches predictions Systems: Are They for You?
It’s all about maximizing your edge over the bookmaker in the sports gambling business.
With matched betting, you can guarantee that edge 100% of the time. Sign up for our free matched betting course via this link.
Other than that, a betting system based on proven mathematical principles is a good starting point.
Combine that with sound knowledge of the sport and disciplined decision making, and you may have found a pathway to profit.
But as this post has highlighted, there are risks aligned with some betting systems when it is applied to football best betting odds, some more prominent then others.
Assessing the value of one Double fixed matches predictions system over another is crucial, so hopefully we’ve helped with that.
Testing the one you think is most risk averse is perhaps worth pursuing. But if over time the numbers don’t add up it’s not the strategy for you.
Through patience, discipline and perhaps a little bit of a conservative streak. You may just find that a betting system can give you the advantage you crave.