Double Fixed Matches Today
Double Fixed Matches Today
Ticket HT-FT Fixed Bets Odds
Day: Wednesday Date: 12.01.2022
League: ENGLAND Premier League
Match: West Ham – Norwich
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.75 Result: 2:0 Lost
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When to Bet Double fixed matches today
We can see it now; most of you are beaming from ear to ear with a grin because you’re excited to get out and start finding Double fixed matches today. The math lovers are already building their formula in an Excel spreadsheet. And the rest of us are trying to make our series predictions.
While that’s all great, we do want to pump the brakes for just a moment to talk about a few times when you might not want to bet value. Both of these Double fixed matches today are technically still going to be winners long-term. But whether you want to bet them or not will come down to your strategy.
The Value Is Thin
Obviously, you’re going to want to be on the lookout for the most possible Double fixed matches today. The bigger the discrepancy between what you think the probability is and what the line says the probability is, the more money you stand to make. That being said, huge discrepancies are hard to come by. A lot of the time, you’ll be making bets that are not huge differences in value.
Keeping all of that in mind, you may want to shy away from games where the value is extremely close. Let’s say you find your predicted implied probability to convert to a money line of +131, and the actual money line is +132. Yes, technically you are getting some Double fixed matches today here, but it’s less than a percent. This will be a long-term winning play, but it’s up to you if you’re okay with making that Double fixed matches today. Some bettors like to shy away from bets that are way too close to a toss-up.
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Significant Favorites or Underdogs
Again, theoretically speaking, betting all Double fixed matches today where you find value is a long-term positive expected value play. In simpler terms, betting high odds fixed matches any value bet will make you money over time. But, as we stated before, there are times where you may want to shy away from bets, even though they offer you value.
One of these situations is when the person or team is a huge favorite or underdog. While we could stumble through explaining this in lengthy paragraphs, it’s better displayed through an example.
Example
Let’s say that you’re looking to Double fixed matches today on a UFC fight, and 250lb Brock Lesnar will be fighting a 90lb middle school child. The odds come out, and Brock Lesnar is -15000, and the middle school kid is something crazy like +18000.
Like the good student you are, you calculate out the implied probability from the sportsbook line. And you find that -15000 translates to 99.3%. This means that the sportsbook assumes Brock is going to win this fight 99.3% of the time.
Results
You feel that Lesnar doesn’t have a 99.3% chance of winning, but more likely only a 99% chance of winning. Again, like a good student, you convert 99% to the money line and see that you should be getting paid out at a rate of -9900. -9900 is WAY better than -15000, so you should slam this bet, right?
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From a theoretical standpoint, yes. From a practical, standpoint…come onnnnn, man. There is no way in God’s green earth that any rational human being would ever place this bet. The point we are trying to make here is that the further you get away from zero (the bigger the favorites or underdogs), the less appealing big discrepancies in value are.
Understanding Double fixed matches today
We’re talking about a 5100 money line difference here, which is massive. But you would have to place this bet so many times to realize your equity that it’s probably not worth it. If the line was supposed to be something like +150 in your mind. But the book had it 5100 off at +5250. You would be shutting down shop for the day so that you could liquidate all of your assets and Double fixed matches today that line.
You have to remember that what you figure for your predicted actual probability is how often that bet is going to win (assuming you are correct, of course). The other 99 times…you are losing. In our +150 example, though, your predicted actual probability is 40%. This means that if you’re correct, you should expect to win this bet 4 out of every 10 times you make it. That is MUCH more appealing and makes it much easier to realize your equity than 1 out of every 100.
Point to ponder
Again, in theory, the Double fixed matches today still has value. But it’s up to you how that fits into your long-term winning fixed matches strategy. Having a long-term mindset is especially important when it comes to value. But you need to make sure that long-term isn’t the next 800 years.
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Another critical aspect of learning to bet on football fixed odds is learning how to adjust your strategies based on the types of wagers you want to make. For example, betting correct fixed matches on which team will win is entirely different than betting ht-ft fixed odds on the overall score of the game. Similarly, betting a week before the event is different than placing a bet at halftime.
You need to adjust your thought process to reflect the type of bet you are making. Here are some specific tips and resources for different types of football betting correct matches.
Football Point Spreads
Did you know that more than 40% of NFL games have a winning margin of less than 14 points? Knowing that information can help you find spread bets worth making and avoid bets that are impossible to beat.
Football Totals
Many gamblers tend to bet the over because they want a more exciting game. However, that is not always the best strategy. The best way to bet on totals is to predict what you think the score will be based on the teams’ offensive and defensive plays.
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Live Betting Strategies
If you plan on making your wagers while the game is happening, you need to know some information ahead of time. For example, what kinds of plays will a coach run if his team takes a big lead early on in the game?
Parlays
When you make parlay bets, you have to win all your bets. That means you need to be intentional about which bets you combine and the kinds of parlays you make.
Those are just a few examples. No matter what kind of bets you want to make, you need to make sure your strategy aligns with the bet you are making, and that the bets offer enough value at the fixed matches odds available.