NFL Betting Strategy
NFL Betting Strategy
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If you are looking to bet on the NFL to make money you have found the right website. Sure, betting odds fixed matches a lot of excitement to watching the NFL games, but here at FixedMatch.Bet we are in it to make money over the course of each NFL season by help you know about NFL betting strategy.
Making a profit of the course of the NFL season is tough, and the average bettor will not do it, but we are here to give you a few NFL betting tips and strategies (most that follow the normal sports betting strategies) that will help you have a better shot at making money this NFL season.
Basic NFL Strategies and Tips
Did you know that you need to hit above 52.4% of your NFL fixed bets (assuming you are betting -110 odds) in order to profit? Doesn’t sound too hard does it? It is actually extremely tough to do, and only the best of the best can consistently hit 53%+ winners year in and year out in the NFL.
Use the basic NFL betting strategies below to help you on your way to a profiting NFL season.
#1 NFL Betting Strategy – Money/Bankroll Management
When you are betting on the NFL season you will want to set aside a certain amount of money to bet with that you can afford to lose, known as your “bankroll”. We suggest you either make a weekly bankroll, monthly bankroll, or full season bankroll.
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For example, you may set aside a $3000 bankroll for the full NFL season that you can use to bet with. A general rule of thumb for NFL betting fixed matches I go by is to only use 2-5% of my bankroll for each bet. In this example, it would allow us to make $60-$150 wagers on each game we bet. You can use 2% for your smaller plays and 5% for plays you really like.
One common mistake is to increase the size of your bets as you start winning or to chase losses with bigger bets – remember the NFL is a long season and to profit over the course of the season you need to manage your money smartly.
#2 NFL Betting Strategy – Look For Weekly Edges
We can’t believe how many times we will see bettors who play every game (or close to) in the NFL each week. This is a recipe for disaster in the long run – to be a winning NFL bettor you need to find edges and capitalize on them.
Find what you think may be an edge in the NFL lines and make your bets based on that. Some weeks you may be making 4 bets, some weeks 6 NFL bets, and hell some weeks even just 1 or 2 NFL bets on the whole weekend. Don’t force bets because you want action and want to make the NFL games more exciting. If you want to make a profit this NFL season find a few good plays each weekend and bet them with 2-5% of your bankroll like we mentioned above.
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#3 NFL Betting Strategy – Line Shopping
In order to have the best opportunity of making money this NFL season, you will need to make sure you do a little bit of “line shopping”. Line shopping is simply checking a few different sportsbooks and comparing the lines on the plays you like. For example, you may like the Bears to cover the 5 point spread on Monday night. Before you place your wager you should check other sportsbooks, as one of them might have the Bears listed as 4.5 point favorites instead of 5 point favorites.
We suggest you sign up at 3-4 of the best NFL sportsbooks listed in our Online Sportsbook section and compare the lines on each before you make any bets this NFL season. This NFL betting strategy can help you win a few extra wagers this NFL season and help you on your way to a winning season!
#4 NFL Betting Strategy – Bet Sober and Don’t Tilt
Bet Sober – This may seem pretty obvious, but there are hundreds of thousands of bettors who don’t follow this week in and week out during the NFL season. Do you think it’s a coincidence that Vegas casinos offer gamblers free alcoholic drinks? Drinking will impair your judgment while betting – save the beers for when the games start and you are done making bets.
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Don’t Tilt – Everyone losses. Even the best NFL handicappers lose bets 40% of the time. Don’t let your emotions get the best of you. Some bettors may take a few bad losses and start to make very poor decisions as their emotions have taken over. Make sure you have a clear mind when making your NFL bets. If you feel like you are on tilt go for a walk or do something to calm down. And don’t bet until you are back to your normal state of mind.
#5 NFL Betting Strategy : Know More than Just the Trends
When it comes to betting on NFL games, following the trends isn’t a bad idea – patterns sometimes provide valuable information. For example, from 2010 to 2018, the Bears went 12-5 ATS when coming off a bye week. While the 49ers, on the other hand, were just 5-11 ATS in that same time frame.
The sharpest bettors always look at the context behind the numbers when evaluating statistical trends.
Noticing that a team just scored 49 points the previous week doesn’t necessarily mean that their offense is firing on all cylinders. Go back and look at how all the points were scored. Maybe a defensive back fell down to allow a long touchdown pass. Perhaps the defense scored a couple of those touchdowns. Maybe they were just playing the Browns.
The sharpest bettors always look at the context behind the numbers.
#6 NFL Betting Strategy: Check the Injury Reports
As we mentioned, football correct fixed matches is the ultimate team game, and small changes can throw off the entire unit. Make sure you know which players have missed practice during the week. What their status is for the upcoming game. And what role they play on the team.
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Team injury reports can be a little vague, so it’s always a good idea to check the Twitter accounts of beat-writers for each team. Often, they will provide a little more detail.
#7 NFL Betting Strategy: Take Caution with Divisional Matchups
Teams that play each other twice per season get to know each other very well. And even bad teams tend to dig a little deeper when they are battling a division rival.
Looking to 2016, the Jacksonville Jaguars, Chicago Bears, and San Francisco 49ers were three of the bottom-four teams in the NFL. But they all posted a 4-2 record ATS within their respective divisions.
Even though one team may appear superior on paper, divisional matchups are often much closer than anticipated. This makes the great choices to bet on the NFL point spread, but they can be risky choices on the money line.
#8 NFL Betting Strategy: Don’t Fall in Love with Value
Betting odds 100% Sure Matches the underdog on the money line can certainly pay off. But you need to consider why long odds are so long in the first place. Make sure you have very specific reasons and logic behind taking a +800 underdog on the money line. Because you can be sure the sportsbook used reason and logic to set that money line in the first place.
We strongly recommend limiting parlays and teasers to 2-5 events when betting winning free tips 1×2 on the NFL.
You also need to be careful when constructing parlays and teasers. Don’t load them up with too many events. NFL teams are generally closely-matched compared to other sports. And it’s far too difficult to correctly predict the outcome of more than a handful of games. We strongly recommend limiting parlays and teasers to 2-5 events.
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Monitor the Lines Throughout the Week
Monitoring the betting lines throughout the week is a big part of maximizing your chances. Some online books may provide more favorable NFL odds, and as the week progresses, you may find the odds change.
It’s important to keep in mind the influence of public perception here. Popular teams like the Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, and New England Patriots will always have loyal supporters. They’re often referred to as public teams. And it’s very likely they’ll be more heavily favored than the statistics suggest they should be.
If you’re planning on betting against the public, wait around and let emotional bettors drive the odds in your favor. Conversely, if you’re planning to bet on a public team, jumping on an early line is likely the best decision.
Diversify Your NFL Bets
There is success to be had betting on the money line, the spread, and game totals. But to maximize your success, it’s crucial to know all the alternative bets you can make.
Many sportsbooks will allow you to bet on alternate spreads or buy and sell points. Instead of settling for a -3.5 spread that makes you a little uncomfortable. You can opt for a -2.5 spread with a more modest payout. Hope this article will help you win all your fixed matches this NFL season. Join FixedMatch.Bet for best fixed matches betting tips and earning a good fortune.
